Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin and clinical outcomes in chronic kidney disease patients

Background: Tubulointerstitial damage is a final common pathway of most renal diseases. Whether urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL), a biomarker for renal tubular damage, is of prognostic value for clinical outcomes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients has not been well investigated. Methods: The uNGAL and proteinuria levels were measured among a cohort of 473 advanced CKD patients of various etiologies recruited during 2002-2009. Results: The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 32.3 +/- 22.0 mL/min/1.73 m(2) with a urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) 680 (255-1248) mg/g and 132 (27.9%) participants had diabetes. The baseline uNGAL level was significantly associated with male gender, eGFR, UPCR, and hemoglobin. The hazard ratio (HR) of the highest uNGAL tertile for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) was 3.44 (95% CI 1.47-8.06, p=0.004). With the adjustment of urine creatinine and urine protein, HR of the highest urine NGAL-to-creatinine ratio (UNCR) tertile and the highest urine NGAL-to-protein ratio (UNPR) tertile was 3.06 (95% CI 1.19-7.90, p=0.02) and 2.10 (95% CI 1.13-3.89, p=0.02), respectively. UNPR increased the prediction of survival model for ESRD. HR of the highest UNCR tertile and UNPR tertile for cardiovascular (CV) events was 2.21 (95% CI 0.81-5.98, p=0.08) and 2.79 (95% CI 1.25-6.26, p=0.01), respectively. None of these were associated with all-cause mortality. Conclusions: Elevated uNGAL in CKD patients is associated with risks for ESRD and probably CV events. UNPR could improve the prediction for ESRD.