Modelling risk and risking models: The diffusive boundary between science and policy in volcanic risk management

被引:18
作者
Donovan, Amy R. [1 ]
Oppenheimer, Clive [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Dept Geog, Cambridge CB2 3EN, England
关键词
Boundary-ordering; Models; Risk assessment; Science and policy; Volcanic risk; Knowledge topologies; CLIMATE-CHANGE; PHYSICAL-GEOGRAPHY; UNCERTAINTY; HISTORIES; DELINEATION; SCIENTISTS; PERCEPTION; SIMULATION; COMPLEXITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.geoforum.2014.11.005
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学]; K9 [地理];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
This article examines the science-policy interface in volcanic risk assessment. It analyses empirical data from research on Montserrat, where new volcanic risk assessment methodologies were pioneered. We discuss the ways in which these methods contributed towards the ordering of scientific advice in its geographical context, and we provide examples of the complex and overlapping topologies that are assembled in a volcanic eruption. In this case, the science-policy interface can be conceptualised as diffusive: both science and policy contain multiple overlapping networks of actors, objects and ideas that interact with one another through flows of responsibilities, attribution, identity and interpretation. Volcanic risk management involves negotiation of conceptual, relational and physical boundaries, and as a result requires the use of qualitative and quantitative methods across human and physical geography. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:153 / 165
页数:13
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