Trial sequential analyses of meta-analyses of complications in laparoscopic vs. small-incision cholecystectomy: more randomized patients are needed

被引:19
作者
Keus, Frederik [1 ,2 ]
Wetterslev, Jorn [2 ]
Gluud, Christian [2 ]
Gooszen, Hein G. [3 ]
van Laarhoven, Cornelis J. H. M. [2 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Diakonessen Hosp, Dept Surg, NL-3582 KE Utrecht, Netherlands
[2] Copenhagen Univ Hosp, Rigshosp, Ctr Clin Intervent Res, Cochrane Hepatobiliary Grp,Copenhagen Trial Unit, Copenhagen, Denmark
[3] Univ Med Ctr, Dept Surg, Utrecht, Netherlands
[4] Radboud Univ Nijmegen Med Ctr, Dept Surg, Nijmegen, Netherlands
关键词
Cumulative meta-analysis; Trial sequential analysis; Meta-analysis; Random error; Cholecystectomy; Trial sequential monitoring boundaries; CUMULATIVE METAANALYSIS; EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE; QUALITY; BIAS; RECOMMENDATIONS; STRENGTH; GRADE; SURGERY; SYSTEMS; SIZE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2009.08.023
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Objective: Conclusions based on meta-analyses of randomized trials carry a status of "truth." Methodological components may identify trials with systematic errors ("bias"). Trial sequential analysis (TSA) evaluates random errors in meta-analysis. We analyzed meta-analyses on laparoscopic vs. small-incision cholecystectomy regarding different outcome measures for the occurrence of type I errors. Study Design and Setting: Using TSA, we calculated the required information size (IS) and the trial sequential monitoring boundaries regarding complications in our Cochrane review with meta-analyses of cholecystectomy. For each outcome, we calculated a low risk of bias heterogeneity-adjusted IS. As a sensitivity analysis, we calculated an a priori heterogeneity-adjusted IS. Results: According to the trial sequential analyses based on a low risk of bias heterogeneity-adjusted IS definitive evidence may he reached by conducting one more randomized trial. Information may be required on 582 and H 9 additional randomized patients to evaluate the effect on severe complications and serious adverse events (SAEs), respectively. Conclusion: Our results provide incentives to conduct a new trial with a low risk of bias focusing on a new composite outcome measure of SAEs to obtain conclusive evidence on which operative method to recommend. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:246 / 256
页数:11
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