Research of combination of electricity GM (1,1) and seasonal time series forecasting model

被引：0
作者：
Wang Yuping [1 ]
Zheng Fangpeng [1 ]
He Kelei [2 ]
Li Chunxue [2 ]
机构：
[1] Guizhou Power Grid Corp, Guiyang, Guizhou, Peoples R China
[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing, Peoples R China
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT INNOVATION | 2015年 / 28卷
关键词：
load forecasting; GM (1,1); seasonal time series; combination forecasting model;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
Load forecasting is one of the important content of power system. Gray GM (1,1) model with seasonal time series was proposed by analyzing the development of the electricity load forecasting. This paper made an empirical analysis of the model with data specifically related to electricity in Guizhou region in recent years. The results showed that the proposed method has a higher accuracy than a single prediction model, and proved correctness and effectiveness of the combination forecasting model.
引用
收藏
页码：261 / 267
页数：7
相关论文
共 45 条
  • [21] Time-Series Forecasting of Seasonal Data Using Machine Learning Methods
    Kramar, Vadim
    Alchakov, Vasiliy
    ALGORITHMS, 2023, 16 (05)
  • [22] A Dilated Convolutional Based Model for Time Series Forecasting
    Mishra K.
    Basu S.
    Maulik U.
    SN Computer Science, 2021, 2 (2)
  • [23] A novel grey prediction model for seasonal time series
    Zhou, Weijie
    Jiang, Rongrong
    Song Ding
    Cheng, Yuke
    Yao Li
    Tao Huihui
    KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2021, 229
  • [24] Functional time series approach for forecasting very short-term electricity demand
    Shang, Han Lin
    JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2013, 40 (01) : 152 - 168
  • [25] New deep recurrent hybrid artificial neural network for forecasting seasonal time series
    Karahasan O.
    Bas E.
    Egrioglu E.
    Granular Computing, 2024, 9 (01)
  • [26] TimeGPT in load forecasting: A large time series model perspective
    Liao, Wenlong
    Wang, Shouxiang
    Yang, Dechang
    Yang, Zhe
    Fang, Jiannong
    Rehtanz, Christian
    Porte-Agel, Fernando
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2025, 379
  • [27] Unbiased Direct DGM(1,1) Model Of Non-Homogeneous Exponential Sequence And Its Application In Electric Load Forecasting
    Zhou, De-Qiang
    THERMAL, POWER AND ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, PTS 1 AND 2, 2013, 732-733 : 972 - 975
  • [28] Research of combination forecasting model based on improved analytic hierarchy process
    Tengfei Feng
    Xiaosheng Liu
    Yu Zhong
    Shibiao Liu
    EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking, 2018
  • [29] Time series analysis model for forecasting unsteady electric load in buildings
    Liu D.
    Wang H.
    Energy and Built Environment, 2024, 5 (06): : 900 - 910
  • [30] Dynamic structural models with covariates for short-term forecasting of time series with complex seasonal patterns
    Puindi, Antonio Casimiro
    Silva, Maria Eduarda
    JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2021, 48 (05) : 804 - 826
12345