Global, Regional, and National Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases for 10 Causes, 1990 to 2015

被引：2625

作者：

Roth, Gregory A. ^{[1
]}

Johnson, Catherine ^{[1
]}

Abajobir, Amanuel ^{[2
]}

Abd-Allah, Foad ^{[3
]}

Abera, Semaw Ferede ^{[4
]}

Abyu, Gebre ^{[4
]}

Ahmed, Muktar ^{[5
]}

Aksut, Baran ^{[6
]}

Alam, Tahiya ^{[1
]}

Alam, Khurshid ^{[7
]}

Alla, Francois ^{[8
]}

Alvis-Guzman, Nelson

Amrock, Stephen

Ansari, Hossein ^{[11
]}

Arnlov, Johan ^{[9
,10
,12
]}

Asayesh, Hamid ^{[13
]}

Atey, Tesfay Mehari ^{[4
]}

Avila-Burgos, Leticia ^{[14
]}

Awasthi, Ashish ^{[15
]}

Banerjee, Amitava ^{[16
]}

Barac, Aleksandra ^{[17
]}

Barnighausen, Till ^{[18
]}

Barregard, Lars ^{[19
]}

Bedi, Neeraj ^{[20
]}

Ketema, Ezra Belay ^{[4
]}

Bennett, Derrick ^{[21
]}

Berhe, Gebremedhin ^{[4
]}

Bhutta, Zulfiqar ^{[22
]}

Bitew, Shimelash ^{[23
]}

Carapetis, Jonathan ^{[24
]}

Carrero, Juan Jesus ^{[25
]}

Malta, Deborah Carvalho ^{[26
]}

Andres Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos ^{[27
]}

Castillo-Rivas, Jacqueline ^{[28
]}

Catala-Lopez, Ferran ^{[29
,30
]}

Choi, Jee-Young ^{[31
]}

Christensen, Hanne ^{[32
]}

Cirillo, Massimo ^{[33
]}

Cooper, Leslie, Jr. ^{[34
]}

Criqui, Michael ^{[35
]}

Cundiff, David

Damasceno, Albertino ^{[36
]}

Dandona, Lalit ^{[1
,37
]}

Dandona, Rakhi ^{[1
,37
]}

Davletov, Kairat ^{[38
]}

Dharmaratne, Samath ^{[39
]}

Dorairaj, Prabhakaran ^{[40
]}

Dubey, Manisha ^{[41
]}

Ehrenkranz, Rebecca ^{[1
]}

Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed ^{[42
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Washington, 2301 5th Ave,Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA

[2] Univ Queensland, Brisbane, Qld, Australia

[3] Cairo Univ, Cairo, Egypt

[4] Mekelle Univ, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

[5] Jimma Univ, Jimma, Ethiopia

[6] Cleveland Clin, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA

[7] Univ Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[8] Univ Lorraine, Nancy, France

[9] Univ Cartagena, Cartagena, Colombia

[10] Oregon Hlth & Sci Univ, Portland, OR 97201 USA

[11] Zahedan Univ Med Sci, Zahedan, Iran

[12] Uppsala Univ, Uppsala, Sweden

[13] Qom Univ Med Sci, Qom, Iran

[14] Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico

[15] Sanjay Gandhi Postgrad Inst Med Sci, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India

[16] UCL, London, England

[17] Univ Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia

[18] Harvard Univ, Boston, MA 02115 USA

[19] Univ Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden

[20] Jazan Univ, Coll Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Jazan, Saudi Arabia

[21] Univ Oxford, Oxford, England

[22] Aga Khan Univ, Karachi, Pakistan

[23] Wolaita Sodo Univ, Wolaita Sodo, Ethiopia

[24] Univ Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia

[25] Karolinska Inst, Stockholm, Sweden

[26] Univ Fed Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil

[27] Inst Nacl Salud, Bogota, Colombia

[28] Caja Costarricense Seguro Social, San Jose, Costa Rica

[29] Univ Valencia, INCLIVA Hlth Res Inst, Valencia, Spain

[30] CIBERSAM, Valencia, Spain

[31] Seoul Natl Univ Hosp, Seoul, South Korea

[32] Bispebjerg Hosp, Copenhagen, Denmark

[33] Univ Salerno, Salerno, Italy

[34] Mayo Clin, Rochester, MN USA

[35] Univ Calif San Diego, San Diego, CA 92103 USA

[36] Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Maputo, Mozambique

[37] Publ Hlth Fdn India, New Delhi, India

[38] Republican Inst Cardiol & Internal Dis, Alma Ata, Kazakhstan

[39] Univ Peradeniya, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka

[40] Ctr Chron Dis Control, Gurgaon, India

[41] Int Inst Populat Sci, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India

[42] Mansoura Univ, Mansoura Fac Med, Mansoura, Egypt

[43] Univ Philippines Manila, Manila, Philippines

[44] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Tehran, Iran

[45] Univ Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292 USA

[46] Auckland Univ Technol, Auckland, New Zealand

[47] Univ Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland

[48] Univ Massachusetts, Boston, MA 02125 USA

[49] Eternal Heart Care Ctr & Res Inst, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India

[50] Univ Groningen, Univ Med Ctr Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands

来源：

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY | 2017年 / 70卷 / 01期

基金：

美国国家卫生研究院;

关键词：

cause of death; epidemiology; global health; PERIPHERAL ARTERIAL-DISEASE; CAUSE-SPECIFIC MORTALITY; SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS; DISABILITY WEIGHTS; RISK-FACTORS; PREVALENCE; HYPERTENSION; TRANSITION; PREVENTION; COUNTRIES;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jacc.2017.04.052

中图分类号：

R5 [内科学];

学科分类号：

1002 ; 100201 ;

摘要：

BACKGROUND The burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remains unclear in many regions of the world. OBJECTIVES The GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2015 study integrated data on disease incidence, prevalence, and mortality to produce consistent, up-to-date estimates for cardiovascular burden. METHODS CVD mortality was estimated from vital registration and verbal autopsy data. CVD prevalence was estimated using modeling software and data from health surveys, prospective cohorts, health system administrative data, and registries. Years lived with disability (YLD) were estimated by multiplying prevalence by disability weights. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated by multiplying age-specific CVD deaths by a reference life expectancy. A sociodemographic index (SDI) was created for each location based on income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility. RESULTS In 2015, there were an estimated 422.7 million cases of CVD (95% uncertainty interval: 415.53 to 427.87 million cases) and 17.92 million CVD deaths (95% uncertainty interval: 17.59 to 18.28 million CVD deaths). Declines in the age-standardized CVD death rate occurred between 1990 and 2015 in all high-income and some middle-income countries. Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of CVD health lost globally, as well as in each world region, followed by stroke. As SDI increased beyond 0.25, the highest CVD mortality shifted from women to men. CVD mortality decreased sharply for both sexes in countries with an SDI > 0.75. CONCLUSIONS CVDs remain a major cause of health loss for all regions of the world. Sociodemographic change over the past 25 years has been associated with dramatic declines in CVD in regions with very high SDI, but only a gradual decrease or no change in most regions. Future updates of the GBD study can be used to guide policymakers who are focused on reducing the overall burden of noncommunicable disease and achieving specific global health targets for CVD. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier on behalf of the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

引用

页码：1 / 25

页数：25

共 51 条

[21] Primary prevention of ischemic stroke - A statement for healthcare professionals from the Stroke Council of the American Heart Association [J].

Goldstein, LB ;

Adams, R ;

Becker, K ;

Furberg, CD ;

Gorelick, PB ;

Hademenos, G ;

Hill, M ;

Howard, G ;

Howard, VJ ;

Jacobs, B ;

Levine, SR ;

Mosca, L ;

Sacco, RL ;

Sherman, DG ;

Wolf, PA ;

del Zoppo, GJ .

STROKE, 2001, 32 (01) :280-299

[22] Dissonant health transition in the states of Mexico, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 [J].

Gomez-Dantes, Hector ;

Fullman, Nancy ;

Lamadrid-Figueroa, Hector ;

Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero ;

Darney, Blair ;

Avila-Burgos, Leticia ;

Correa-Rotter, Ricardo ;

Rivera, Juan A. ;

Barquera, Simon ;

Gonzalez-Pier, Eduardo ;

Aburto-Soto, Tania ;

de Castro, Elga Filipa Amorin ;

Barrientos-Gutierrez, Tonatiuh ;

Basto-Abreu, Ana C. ;

Batis, Carolina ;

Borges, Guilherme ;

Campos-Nonato, Ismael ;

Campuzano-Rincon, Julio C. ;

Cantoral-Preciado, Alejandra de Jesus ;

Contreras-Manzano, Alejandra G. ;

Cuevas-Nasu, Lucia ;

de la Cruz-Gongora, Vanessa V. ;

Diaz-Ortega, Jose L. ;

Garcia-Garcia, Maria de Lourdes ;

Garcia-Guerra, Armando ;

Gonzalez de Cossio, Teresita ;

Gonzalez-Castell, Luz D. ;

Heredia-Pi, Ileana ;

Hijar-Medina, Marta C. ;

Jauregui, Alejandra ;

Jimenez-Corona, Aida ;

Lopez-Olmedo, Nancy ;

Magis-Rodriguez, Carlos ;

Medina-Garcia, Catalina ;

Medina-Mora, Maria E. ;

Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola ;

Montanez, Julio C. ;

Montero, Pablo ;

Montoya, Alejandra ;

Moreno-Banda, Grea L. ;

Pedroza-Tobias, Andrea ;

Perez-Padilla, Rogelio ;

Quezada, Amado D. ;

Richardson-Lopez-Collada, Vesta L. ;

Riojas-Rodriguez, Horacio ;

Blancas, Maria J. Rios ;

Razo-Garcia, Christian ;

Romero Mendoza, Martha P. ;

Sanchez-Pimienta, Tania G. ;

Sanchez-Romero, Luz M. .

LANCET, 2016, 388 (10058) :2386-2402

[23] Assessing disability weights based on the responses of 30,660 people from four European countries [J].

Haagsma, Juanita A. ;

de Noordhout, Charline Maertens ;

Polinder, Suzanne ;

Vos, Theo ;

Havelaar, Arie H. ;

Cassini, Alessandro ;

Devleesschauwer, Brecht ;

Kretzschmar, Mirjam E. ;

Speybroeck, Niko ;

Salomon, Joshua A. .

POPULATION HEALTH METRICS, 2015, 13

[24] ACC/AHA 2005 guidelines for the management of patients with peripheral arterial disease (Lower extremity, renal, mesenteric, and abdominal aortic): Executive summary [J].

Hirsch, AT ;

Haskal, ZJ ;

Hertzer, NR ;

Bakal, CW ;

Creager, MA ;

Halperin, JL ;

Hiratzka, LF ;

Murphy, WRC ;

Olin, JW ;

Puschett, JB ;

Rosenfield, KA ;

Sacks, D ;

Stanley, JC ;

Taylor, LM ;

White, CJ ;

White, J ;

White, RA ;

Antman, EM ;

Smith, SC ;

Adams, CD ;

Anderson, JL ;

Faxon, DP ;

Fuster, V ;

Gibbons, RJ ;

Halperin, JL ;

Hiratzka, LF ;

Hunt, SA ;

Jacobs, AK ;

Nishimura, R ;

Ornato, JP ;

Page, RL ;

Riegel, B .

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY, 2006, 47 (06) :1239-1312

[25] Long-term air pollution exposure and cardio- respiratory mortality: a review [J].

Hoek, Gerard ;

Krishnan, Ranjini M. ;

Beelen, Rob ;

Peters, Annette ;

Ostro, Bart ;

Brunekreef, Bert ;

Kaufman, Joel D. .

ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH, 2013, 12

[26] Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 [J].

Kassebaum, Nicholas J. ;

Arora, Megha ;

Barber, Ryan M. ;

Bhutta, Zulfigar A. ;

Carter, Austin ;

Casey, Daniel C. ;

Charlson, Fiona J. ;

Coates, Matthew M. ;

Coggeshall, Megan ;

Cornaby, Leslie ;

Dandona, Lalit ;

Dicker, Daniel J. ;

Erskine, Holly E. ;

Ferrari, Alize J. ;

Fitzmaurice, Christina ;

Foreman, Kyle ;

Forouzanfar, Mohammad H. ;

Fullman, Nancy ;

Gething, Peter W. ;

Goldberg, Ellen M. ;

Graetz, Nicholas ;

Haagsma, Juanita A. ;

Johnson, Catherine ;

Kemmer, Laura ;

Khalil, Ibrahim A. ;

Kinfu, Yohannes ;

Kutz, Michael J. ;

Kyu, Hmwe H. ;

Leung, Janni ;

Liang, Xiaofeng ;

Lim, Stephen S. ;

Lozano, Rafael ;

Mensah, George A. ;

Mikesell, Joe ;

Mokdad, Ali H. ;

Mooney, Meghan D. ;

Naghavi, Mohsen ;

Nguyen, Grant ;

Nsoesie, Elaine ;

Pigott, David M. ;

Pinho, Christine ;

Rankin, Zane ;

Reinig, Nikolas ;

Salomon, Joshua A. ;

Sandar, Logan ;

Smith, Alison ;

Sorensen, Reed J. D. ;

Stanaway, Jeffrey ;

Steiner, Caitlyn ;

Teeple, Stephanie .

LANCET, 2016, 388 (10053) :1603-1658

[27] Impact of misclassification on measures of cardiovascular disease mortality in the Islamic Republic of Iran: a cross-sectional study [J].

Khosravi, Ardeshir ;

Rao, Chalapati ;

Naghavi, Mohsen ;

Taylor, Richard ;

Jafari, Nahid ;

Lopez, Alan D. .

BULLETIN OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, 2008, 86 (09) :688-696

[28] Endemic Cardiovascular Diseases of the Poorest Billion [J].

Kwan, Gene F. ;

Mayosi, Bongani M. ;

Mocumbi, Ana O. ;

Miranda, J. Jaime ;

Ezzati, Majid ;

Jain, Yogesh ;

Robles, Gisela ;

Benjamin, Emelia J. ;

Subramanian, S. V. ;

Bukhman, Gene .

CIRCULATION, 2016, 133 (24) :2561-+

[29] Hazardous alcohol drinking and premature mortality in Russia: a population based case-control study [J].

Leon, David A. ;

Saburova, Lyudmila ;

Tomkins, Susannah ;

Andreev, Evgueny ;

Kiryanov, Nikolay ;

McKee, Martin ;

Shkolnikov, Vladimir M. .

LANCET, 2007, 369 (9578) :2001-2009

[30] The Ankle-Brachial Index for Peripheral Artery Disease Screening and Cardiovascular Disease Prediction Among Asymptomatic Adults: A Systematic Evidence Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force [J].

Lin, Jennifer S. ;

Olson, Carin M. ;

Johnson, Eric S. ;

Whitlock, Evelyn P. .

ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 2013, 159 (05) :333-+

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 →