Solar photovoltaics is ready to power a sustainable future

被引：380

作者：

Victoria, Marta ^{[1
,2
]}

Haegel, Nancy ^{[3
]}

Peters, Ian Marius ^{[4
]}

Sinton, Ron ^{[5
]}

Jaeger-Waldau, Arnulf ^{[6
]}

del Canizo, Carlos ^{[7
]}

Breyer, Christian ^{[8
]}

Stocks, Matthew ^{[9
]}

Blakers, Andrew ^{[9
]}

Kaizuka, Izumi ^{[10
]}

Komoto, Keiichi ^{[11
]}

Smets, Arno ^{[12
]}

机构：

[1] Aarhus Univ, Dept Mech & Prod Engn, DK-8000 Aarhus, Denmark

[2] Aarhus Univ, iCLIMATE Interdisciplinary Ctr Climate Change, DK-8000 Aarhus, Denmark

[3] NREL, Golden, CO 80401 USA

[4] Forschungszentrum Julich, D-52425 Julich, Germany

[5] Sinton Instruments, Boulder, CO 80301 USA

[6] Joint Res Ctr JRC, European Commiss, I-2749 Ispra, Italy

[7] Univ Politecn Madrid, Inst Energia Solar, Madrid 28040, Spain

[8] LUT Univ, Yliopistonkatu 34, Lappeenranta 53850, Finland

[9] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Elect Energy & Mat Engn, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia

[10] RTS Corp, Tokyo, Japan

[11] Mizuho Informat & Res Inst, Tokyo, Japan

[12] Delft Univ Technol, Photovolta Mat & Devices Lab, NL-2628 Delft, Netherlands

来源：

JOULE | 2021年 / 5卷 / 05期

基金：

欧盟地平线“2020”;

关键词：

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS; DIRECT AIR CAPTURE; ENERGY SYSTEM; ELECTRICITY-GENERATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; SECTOR; WIND; TRANSITION; STORAGE; TECHNOLOGIES;

D O I：

10.1016/j.joule.2021.03.005

中图分类号：

O64 [物理化学（理论化学）、化学物理学];

学科分类号：

070304 ; 081704 ;

摘要：

Thanks to fast learning and sustained growth, solar photovoltaics (PV) is today a highly cost-competitive technology, ready to contribute substantially to CO2 emissions mitigation. However, many scenarios assessing global decarbonization pathways, either based on integrated assessment models or partial-equilibrium models, fail to identify the key role that this technology could play, including far lower future PV capacity than that projected by the PV community. In this perspective, we review the factors that lie behind the historical cost reductions of solar PV and identify innovations in the pipeline that could contribute to maintaining a high learning rate. We also aim at opening a constructive discussion among PV experts, modelers, and policymakers regarding how to improve the representation of this technology in the models and how to ensure that manufacturing and installation of solar PV- can ramp up on time, which will be crucial to remain in a decarbonization path compatible with the Paris Agreement.

引用

页码：1041 / 1056

页数：16

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