How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk-Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?

被引:1
作者
Eichler, Stefan [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Leibniz Univ Hannover, Inst Money & Int Finance, Hannover, Germany
[2] Halle Inst Econ Res, Dept Financial Markets, Halle, Germany
关键词
DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES; DEBT CRISES; EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS; PANEL-DATA; LEADING INDICATORS; DEFAULT RISK; BOND SPREADS; CREDIT RISK; CDS SPREADS; DETERMINANTS;
D O I
10.1111/rode.12274
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
This paper studies the role of political factors for determining the impact of banking sector distress on sovereign bond yield spreads for a sample of 19 emerging market economies in the period 1994-2013. Using interaction models, I find that the adverse impact of banking sector distress on sovereign solvency is less pronounced for countries with a high degree of political stability, a high level of power sharing within the government coalition, a low level of political constraint within the political system, and for countries run by powerful and effective governments. The electoral cycle pronounces the bank risk-sovereign risk transfer.
引用
收藏
页码:451 / 474
页数:24
相关论文
共 56 条
[1]   A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk [J].
Acharya, Viral ;
Drechsler, Itamar ;
Schnabl, Philipp .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2014, 69 (06) :2689-2739
[2]   What is the risk of European sovereign debt defaults? Fiscal space, CDS spreads and market pricing of risk [J].
Aizenman, Joshua ;
Hutchison, Michael ;
Jinjarak, Yothin .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2013, 34 :37-59
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1996, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
[4]  
[Anonymous], 2008, IMF WORKING PAPERS
[5]   SOME TESTS OF SPECIFICATION FOR PANEL DATA - MONTE-CARLO EVIDENCE AND AN APPLICATION TO EMPLOYMENT EQUATIONS [J].
ARELLANO, M ;
BOND, S .
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1991, 58 (02) :277-297
[6]  
Attinasi M. G., 2009, Working Paper Series, V1131
[7]   The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies [J].
Balakrishnan, Ravi ;
Danninger, Stephan ;
Elekdag, Selim ;
Tytell, Irina .
EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 2011, 47 :40-68
[8]  
Baldacci E., 2011, 1194 IMF
[9]  
Barth J., 2012, J FINANCIAL EC POLIC, V4, P1
[10]   New tools in comparative political economy: The database of political institutions [J].
Beck, T ;
Clarke, G ;
Groff, A ;
Keefer, P ;
Walsh, P .
WORLD BANK ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2001, 15 (01) :165-176