The research of the forecast of sales with the application of econometric, winter's and ARIMA models

被引:0
|
作者
Knosala, R.
Mach, L.
机构
来源
Annals of DAAAM for 2004 & Proceedings of the 15th International DAAAM Symposium: INTELLIGNET MANUFACTURING & AUTOMATION: GLOBALISATION - TECHNOLOGY - MEN - NATURE | 2004年
关键词
forecast; ARIMA model; Winter's model; one-dimensional econometric model;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
The main aim of the presented article is to present research and experiments designed for specifying statistic-mathematical forecast models. The research has been done on econometric, Winter's and ARIMA methods. The criterion of choice of the best method among the tested ones was, from the predictive point of view, to apply the criterion of minimization of the average relative error.
引用
收藏
页码:215 / 216
页数:2
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] APPLICATION OF ARIMA MODELS TO FORECAST THE QUALITY OF A FRENCH CHEESE - THE COMTE
    ONADO, V
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIO-MEDICAL COMPUTING, 1991, 28 (04): : 249 - 267
  • [2] FORECAST ERROR SYMMETRY IN ARIMA MODELS
    CRYER, JD
    NANKERVIS, JC
    SAVIN, NE
    JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1990, 85 (411) : 724 - 728
  • [3] THE DECOMPOSITION OF FORECAST IN SEASONAL ARIMA MODELS
    ESPASA, A
    PENA, D
    JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1995, 14 (07) : 565 - 583
  • [4] Commodity sales forecast based on ARIMA model residual optimization
    Hu, Wen
    Zhang, Xinchao
    2020 5TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMMUNICATION, IMAGE AND SIGNAL PROCESSING (CCISP 2020), 2020, : 229 - 233
  • [5] ARIMA MODELS - AN ALTERNATIVE TO ECONOMETRIC SHORT-TERM MODELS
    HEILEMANN, U
    NEUHAUS, R
    JAHRBUCHER FUR NATIONALOKONOMIE UND STATISTIK, 1987, 203 (02): : 167 - 187
  • [6] Econometric models for the forecast of passenger demand in Greece
    Profillidis, Vassilios A.
    Botzoris, George N.
    JOURNAL OF STATISTICS & MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, 2006, 9 (01): : 37 - 54
  • [7] An Application of Seasonal ARIMA Models on Group Commodities to Forecast Philippine Merchandise Exports Performance
    Natividad, Gina May R.
    Cawiding, Olive R.
    Addawe, Rizavel C.
    13TH IMT-GT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS (ICMSA2017), 2017, 1905
  • [8] Updating the forecast function of ARIMA models and the link with DLMs
    Butler, NA
    JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1999, 18 (04) : 275 - 284
  • [9] Research on the Application of Auto Spare Parts Sales Forecast in the Age of Big Data
    Zhang, Cuoling
    Zhang, Deqing
    Zheng, Chun
    2022 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTERS AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGIES, CAIT, 2022, : 48 - 52
  • [10] Evaluating the Forecast of ARIMA Models Based on Statistical Methods
    Wang Sheng
    RECENT ADVANCE IN STATISTICS APPLICATION AND RELATED AREAS, PTS 1 AND 2, 2008, : 450 - 453