Hindsight bias in gustatory judgments

被引:19
作者
Pohl, RF
Schwarz, S
Sczesny, S
Stahlberg, D
机构
[1] Univ Giessen, D-35394 Giessen, Germany
[2] Univ Mannheim, Sonderforsch Bereich 504, Mannheim, Germany
关键词
judgment; hindsight bias; anchoring; expertise;
D O I
10.1026//1618-3169.50.2.107
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
Being in hindsight, people tend to overestimate what they had known in foresight. This phenomenon has been studied for a wide variety of knowledge. domains (e.g., episodes with uncertain outcomes, or solutions to almanac questions). As a result,of these. studies, hindsight bias turned out to be a robust phenomenon. In this paper, we present two experiments that successfully, extended the domain of hindsight bias,to gustatory judgments. Participants tasted different food items and were asked to estimate the quantity of a certain ingredient, for example, the residual sugar in a white wine. Judgments in both experiments were systematically biased towards previously presented low or high values that were labeled as the true quantities. Thus, hindsight bias can be considered a phenomenon that extends well beyond the judgment domains studied so far.
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页码:107 / 115
页数:9
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