Socio-Economic Development and Protests A Quantitative Reanalysis

被引:25
作者
Korotayev, Andrey, V [1 ,2 ]
Sawyer, Patrick S. [1 ]
Romanov, Daniil M. [3 ]
机构
[1] HSE Univ, Moscow, Russia
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Inst African Studies, Moscow, Russia
[3] HSE Univ, Lab Sociopolit Destabilizat Risks Monitoring, Moscow, Russia
基金
俄罗斯科学基金会;
关键词
protests; economic development; education; urbanization; democratization; per capita GDP; GDP PER-CAPITA; ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT; DEMOCRATIC DOMINOES; GROWTH; DIFFUSION; EDUCATION; PARTICIPATION; MOBILIZATION; TRANSITIONS; MODEL;
D O I
10.1163/15691330-BJA10030
中图分类号
C91 [社会学];
学科分类号
030301 ; 1204 ;
摘要
The current article investigates societal indicators associated with economic development that may account for the strong positive correlation between GDP per capita and protest intensity. The authors' tests reveal that the expansion of democratization, education, and urbanization are one of the main influences accounting for this positive relationship between GDP per capita growth and anti-government protest intensity. Moreover, when controlling for these factors, the relationship between GDP per capita and anti-state protests becomes negative indicating that the forces associated with economic development at a certain point play a larger role than economic growth itself. The results of this study, thus, have implications for both Resource Mobilization and Cultural Theorists due to the fact that further GDP per capita growth becomes an inhibitor of protests in the high-income countries instead of a promoter.
引用
收藏
页码:195 / 222
页数:28
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