Wind power forecasting based on daily wind speed data using machine learning algorithms

被引:250
作者
Demolli, Halil [1 ]
Dokuz, Ahmet Sakir [2 ]
Ecemis, Alper [2 ]
Gokcek, Murat [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Prishtina, Fac Mech Engn, Bregu I Diellit Pn 10000, Prishtina, Kosovo
[2] Nigde Omer Halisdemir Univ, Fac Engn, Dept Comp Engn, Main Campus, TR-51240 Nigde, Turkey
[3] Nigde Omer Halisdemir Univ, Fac Engn, Dept Mech Engn, Main Campus, TR-51240 Nigde, Turkey
关键词
Wind energy; Wind power forecasting; Machine Learning; Regression; PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION; NEURAL-NETWORK; PREDICTION; REGRESSION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.enconman.2019.111823
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Wind energy is a significant and eligible source that has the potential for producing energy in a continuous and sustainable manner among renewable energy sources. However, wind energy has several challenges, such as initial investment costs, the stationary property of wind plants, and the difficulty in finding wind-efficient energy areas. In this study, long-term wind power forecasting was performed based on daily wind speed data using five machine learning algorithms. We proposed a method based on machine learning algorithms to forecast wind power values efficiently. We conducted several case studies to reveal performances of machine learning algorithms. The results showed that machine learning algorithms could be used for forecasting long-term wind power values with respect to historical wind speed data. Furthermore, the results showed that machine learning-based models could be applied to a location different from model-trained locations. This study demonstrated that machine learning algorithms could be successfully used before the establishment of wind plants in an unknown geographical location whether it is logical by using the model of a base location.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 45 条
  • [21] Khan GM, 2014, IEEE IJCNN, P1130, DOI 10.1109/IJCNN.2014.6889771
  • [22] Hour-ahead wind power forecast based on random forests
    Lahouar, A.
    Slama, J. Ben Hadj
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2017, 109 : 529 - 541
  • [23] Short-term wind power prediction based on data mining technology and improved support vector machine method: A case study in Northwest China
    Li, Cunbin
    Lin, Shuaishuai
    Xu, Fangqiu
    Liu, Ding
    Liu, Jicheng
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2018, 205 : 909 - 922
  • [24] A Meteorological–Statistic Model for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting
    Lima J.M.
    Guetter A.K.
    Freitas S.R.
    Panetta J.
    de Mattos J.G.Z.
    [J]. Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems, 2017, 28 (5) : 679 - 691
  • [25] Manwell J.F., 2010, WIND ENERGY EXPLAINE
  • [26] Statistical approach for improved wind speed forecasting for wind power production
    Pearre, Nathaniel S.
    Swan, Lukas G.
    [J]. SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES AND ASSESSMENTS, 2018, 27 : 180 - 191
  • [27] Multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting using a hybrid model based on two-stage decomposition technique and AdaBoost-extreme learning machine
    Peng, Tian
    Zhou, Jianzhong
    Zhang, Chu
    Zheng, Yang
    [J]. ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2017, 153 : 589 - 602
  • [28] Hybrid forecasting model based on long short term memory network and deep learning neural network for wind signal
    Qin, Yong
    Li, Kun
    Liang, Zhanhao
    Lee, Brendan
    Zhang, Fuyong
    Gu, Yongcheng
    Zhang, Lei
    Wu, Fengzhi
    Rodriguez, Dragan
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2019, 236 : 262 - 272
  • [29] Hybrid technique of ant colony and particle swarm optimization for short term wind energy forecasting
    Rahmani, Rasoul
    Yusof, Rubiyah
    Seyedmahmoudian, Mohammadmehdi
    Mekhilef, Saad
    [J]. JOURNAL OF WIND ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL AERODYNAMICS, 2013, 123 : 163 - 170
  • [30] Rajagopalan S, 2009, IEEE POW ENER SOC GE, P865