Growth and distribution of Socio-Demographic and Economic Variables in India using Time Series Trend Models

The study of growth pattern of population is a very important phenomenon for framing population policy. The study of socio-demographic and economic variable plays an important role in population policies. In this paper, an attempt is made to study the growth and distribution of socio-demographic and economic characteristics for India. The selected socio-demographic and economic variables viz; Demographic indicators: Total, urban and Rural populations, Birth and Death rates, Infant Mortality rate, Under 5 mortality and Life expectancy at Birth and economic variables; Gross Domestic Product and Age dependency Ratio and Sociological characteristics are Sex ratio and Literacy rate in India from 1971 to 2020 are processed and analyzed by using the different time series trend models. The result of the analysis shows all three populations and Life expectancy at birth shows an increasing trend, vital rates are decreasing, socio-economic variables show an increasing pattern except age dependency ratio. The polynomial trend is best fitted to demographic variables except Rural population and CBR, economic variables and sociological variables.