Prognostic significance of postoperative change of PALBI grade for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

The platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade plays critical role in evaluating liver function. However, the change of PALBI grade from the preoperative to postoperative period in predicting patient outcomes after hepatectomy remains unclear. A total of 489 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy in West China Hospital between January, 2010 and June, 2016 were analyzed retrospectively.Delta PALBI grade was calculated by PALBI grade at the first postoperative month - preoperative PALBI grade.Delta PALBI >0 was considered as stable; otherwise, worse PALBI grade was considered. Kaplan- Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed for survival analysis. Prognostic model was constructed by nomogram method. Three hundred forty two patients and 147 patients were classified into training group and validation group, respectively. In the training group, results from Cox model suggested that worse PALBI grade (HR 1.328, 95% CI 1.010-1.746, P = .042), tumor size (HR 1.460, 95% CI 1.058-2.015, P = .021), microvascular invasion (MVI, HR 1.802, 95% CI 1.205-2.695, P < .001), and high alpha-fetoprotein level (AFP, HR 1.364, 95% CI 1.044-1.781, P = .023) negatively influenced postoperative recurrence. Similarly, worse PALBI grade (HR 1.403, 95% CI 1.020-1.930, P = .038), tumor size (HR 1.708, 95% CI 1.157-2.520, P = .007), MVI (HR 1.914, 95% CI 1.375-2.663, P < .001), and presence of cirrhosis (HR 1.773, 95% CI 1.226-2.564, P = .002) had negatively impacts on overall survival. Patients with worse PALBI grade had worse recurrence free (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The prognostic model incorporating the change of PALBI grade constructed in training group and tested in the validation group could perform well in predicting the outcomes. Postoperative change of PALBI grade was independently risk factor related with prognosis. Prognostic model incorporating the change of PALBI grade might be a useful index to predict the prognosis of HCC patients following hepatectomy.