Projected Global Loss of Mammal Habitat Due to Land-Use and Climate Change

被引：58

作者：

Baisero, Daniele ^{[1
,3
,4
]}

Visconti, Piero ^{[2
,5
]}

Pacifici, Michela ^{[1
]}

Cimatti, Marta ^{[1
]}

Rondinini, Carlo ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Sapienza Univ Rome, Dept Biol & Biotechnol, Global Mammal Assessment Program, I-00185 Rome, Italy

[2] UCL, Ctr Biodivers & Environm Res, London WC1E 6BT, England

[3] Key Biodivers Area Secretariat, David Attenborough Bldg, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, England

[4] Wildlife Conservat Soc, David Attenborough Bldg, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, England

[5] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria

来源：

ONE EARTH | 2020年 / 2卷 / 06期

关键词：

ECOSYSTEM SERVICES; BIODIVERSITY; FUTURE; MODELS; CONSERVATION; HOTSPOTS; PATHWAYS; PLATFORM; RISK;

D O I：

10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.015

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Human pressure on the environment is driving a global decline of biodiversity. Anticipating whether this trend can be reverted under future scenarios is key to supporting policy decisions. We used the InSiGHTS framework to model the impacts of land-use and climate change on future habitat availability for 2,827 terrestrial mammals at 15 arcmin resolution under five contrasting global scenarios based on combinations of representative concentration pathways and shared socio-economic pathways between 2015 and 2050. Mammal habitat declined globally by 5%-16% depending on the scenario. Africa (with declines up to 25%) and South America were the most affected regions. African insectivores, primates, Australian carnivorous marsupials and marsupial moles, and South American opossums declined the most. Tackling this loss would require a mix of actions across scales, including a global shift toward sustainability, addressing land-use change in sub-Saharan Africa, and helping endemic species track climate change in South America.

引用

页码：578 / 585

页数：8

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