Financial distress prediction using the hybrid associative memory with translation

被引:62
作者
Cleofas-Sanchez, L. [1 ]
Garcia, V. [2 ]
Marques, A. I. [3 ]
Sanchez, J. S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Jaume 1, Dept Comp Languages & Syst, Inst New Imaging Technol, Castellon de La Plana 12071, Spain
[2] Univ Autonoma Ciudad Juarez, Div Multidisciplinaria Ciudad Univ, Ciudad Juarez 32310, Chihuahua, Mexico
[3] Univ Jaume 1, Dept Business Adm & Mkt, Castellon de La Plana 12071, Spain
关键词
Associative memory; Neural network; Financial distress; Bankruptcy; Credit risk; ART CLASSIFICATION ALGORITHMS; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS; CREDIT SCORING MODELS; BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION; DISCRIMINANT-ANALYSIS; CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY; FACE RECOGNITION; SOFTWARE TOOL; RISK; ENSEMBLES;
D O I
10.1016/j.asoc.2016.04.005
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
This paper presents an alternative technique for financial distress prediction systems. The method is based on a type of neural network, which is called hybrid associative memory with translation. While many different neural network architectures have successfully been used to predict credit risk and corporate failure, the power of associative memories for financial decision-making has not been explored in any depth as yet. The performance of the hybrid associative memory with translation is compared to four traditional neural networks, a support vector machine and a logistic regression model in terms of their prediction capabilities. The experimental results over nine real-life data sets show that the associative memory here proposed constitutes an appropriate solution for bankruptcy and credit risk prediction, performing significantly better than the rest of models under class imbalance and data overlapping conditions in terms of the true positive rate and the geometric mean of true positive and true negative rates. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:144 / 152
页数:9
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