The Resurgence of al-Qaeda? Consequences of the Syrian Conflict's Denouement

被引：0

作者：

Harris, Halistair ^{[1
]}

Welander, Frej ^{[2
]}

Lind, Daniel ^{[2
]}

Watson, Robert Akira ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] ARK Grp DMCC, Dubai, U Arab Emirates

[2] NAMA Strateg Intelligence Solut, Amman, Jordan

来源：

COUNTERING TERRORISM, PREVENTING RADICALIZATION AND PROTECTING CULTURAL HERITAGE: THE ROLE OF HUMAN FACTORS AND TECHNOLOGY | 2017年 / 133卷

关键词：

al-Qaeda; al-Nusra; Jabhat Fateh al-Nusra; Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS); Tahrir al-Sham; Jabhat Fateh al-Sham (JFS); Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL); Daesh; ISIS; Syrian Civil War;

D O I：

10.3233/978-1-61499-755-9-84

中图分类号：

D81 [国际关系];

学科分类号：

030207 ;

摘要：

This paper expands upon the thesis presented by Alistair Harris, CEO of the ARK Group DMCC, at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop: "Human Factors in the Defence Against Terrorism: The Case of Jordan" hosted from 21 to 23 November 2016. This paper argues al-Qaeda's main affiliate in Syria, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (formerly Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, and al-Nusra) is positioned to be one of the greatest beneficiaries from the confluence of two current trends in the Syrian Civil War: (1) the increasing likelihood of the preservation of the Assad regime, and (2) the mounting territorial losses of the Islamic State from coalition efforts in both Iraq and Syria. This paper assesses the civil war through the prism of these two trends, and considers what the success of al-Qaeda's Syrian franchise might portend for the global organisation.

引用

页码：84 / 102

页数：19

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