Long-range dependencies of Eastern European stock markets: A dynamic detrended analysis

被引:25
作者
Ferreira, Paulo [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Inst Politecn Portalegre, VALORIZA Res Ctr Endogenous Resource Valorizat, Portalegre, Portugal
[2] Univ Evora, CEFAGE UE, IIFA, Largo Colegiais 2, P-7000 Evora, Portugal
[3] Inst Politecn Portalegre, Escola Super Agr Elvas, Dept Ciencias Agr & Vet, Portalegre, Portugal
[4] Laureate Int Univ, Univ Europeia, P-1500210 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Detrended fluctuation analysis; Eastern European stock markets; Long-range dependencies; LOCAL HURST EXPONENT; STATISTICAL PHYSICS; EMERGING MARKETS; CAPITAL-MARKETS; EFFICIENCY; TIME; ECONOPHYSICS; RETURNS; SEASONALITY; FINANCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2018.03.088
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
The analysis of stock markets' behaviour remains a very interesting issue, because it can give investors information about where to apply their money. In this context, a dynamic analysis of 18 Eastern European stock markets is performed, using a sliding windows detrended fluctuation analysis, which will fill a gap in the literature with the inclusion in this study of a larger sample. The results show that most indices are distant from the absence of long-range dependencies, which could be seen as inefficiency. Nevertheless, some countries show a decrease in dependence levels over time, namely the Hungarian, Czech and Polish indices. When compared with other more developed markets, these and Latvia are the only ones to show similar behaviour, regarding the existence of long-range dependencies. This could be related to more developed economic structures as well as the financial system, probably associated with joining the European Union. However, other current European Union members, such as Bulgaria, Slovenia and Lithuania do not show this pattern. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:454 / 470
页数:17
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