What is my covid risk?

被引:5
作者
Finnikin, Samuel [1 ]
Spiegelhalter, David J. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Birmingham, Med Sch Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, W Midlands, England
[2] Univ Cambridge, Winton Ctr Risk & Evidence Commun, Cambridge, England
来源
BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL | 2021年 / 372卷
关键词
D O I
10.1136/bmj.n637
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
A 60 year old woman with type 2 diabetes and rheumatoid arthritis contacts her GP to discuss her risk from covid-19. Her daughter is getting married next month and is planning a socially distanced ceremony with 30 guests. One of the many unprecedented challenges that covid-19 has presented is the need for members of the public to be able to assess and mitigate personal risk in rapidly evolving circumstances. Thanks to analysis of large datasets, we are able to estimate risk of death from covid-19 based on identified risk factors such as age, ethnicity, and comorbidities.1 But what do these numbers mean for an individual patient, and how should they modify their activities and interactions in light of them? Patients may look to their GPs or other healthcare professionals to help them make sense of these risks and make more informed decisions. Here we outline an approach to discussing an individual's risks from covid-19. Any discussions regarding covid-19 risks with patients should also incorporate the public health consequences of infection and reiterate any relevant local or national guidance or legislation. What you should cover First you need to establish what decisions the patient is considering, and exactly what she is expecting from the appointment. Is she considering not attending the wedding or encouraging
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页数:4
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