An integrated model system and policy evaluation tool for maximizing mobility under environmental capacity constraints: A case study in Dalian City, China

被引：26

作者：

Feng, Tao ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Junyi ^{[2
]}

Fujiwara, Akimasa ^{[2
]}

Timmermans, Harry J. P. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Eindhoven Univ Technol, Urban Planning Grp, Fac Architecture Bldg & Planning, NL-5600 MB Eindhoven, Netherlands

[2] Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Int Dev & Cooperat, Transportat Engn Lab, Higashihiroshima 7398529, Japan

来源：

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT | 2010年 / 15卷 / 05期

关键词：

Mobility maximization; Environmental capacity; Policy evaluation; Integrated model; LAND-USE; TRANSPORTATION;

D O I：

10.1016/j.trd.2010.03.001

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

This paper presents an integrated model system for mobility maximization based on a quantified specification of environmental capacity, and evaluates policy interaction and effectiveness by simulating a number of policy scenarios. The system is designed to specify the maximum level of car ownership and number of trips by private and public modes subject to an environmental capacity constraint defined as the frontier emission under maximum system efficiency. Four types of hypothetical policies (population change, urban sprawl, land-use pattern and network improvement) are designed and the effects of 13 policy scenarios are simulated using data of Dalian City, China. Results reveal that the integrated model system reacts sensitively to policy interventions. The urban sprawl reflected in a changing residential distribution from central to suburban areas is most instrumental from the perspective of pollution alleviation. If the goal is to simultaneously reduce emissions while accommodating mobility, two combinational policy scenarios outperform all others. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：263 / 274

页数：12

共 18 条

[1]

Bard J. F., 1999, PRACTICAL BILEVEL OP

[2] A dynamic activity-based population modelling approach to evaluate exposure to air pollution: Methods and application to a Dutch urban area [J].

Beckx, Carolien ;

Panis, Luc Int ;

Arentze, Theo ;

Janssens, Davy ;

Torfs, Rudi ;

Broekx, Steven ;

Wets, Geert .

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW, 2009, 29 (03) :179-185

[3] Estimation of vehicular emission inventories in China from 1980 to 2005 [J].

Cai, Hao ;

Xie, Shaodong .

ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT, 2007, 41 (39) :8963-8979

[4]

*DAL MUNC BUR STAT, 2001, DAL STAT YB

[5] A semi-empirical model for predicting the effect of changes in traffic flow patterns on carbon monoxide concentrations [J].

Dirks, KN ;

Johns, MD ;

Hay, JE ;

Sturman, AP .

ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT, 2003, 37 (19) :2719-2724

[6]

FENG T, 2006, P INT C TRANSP TRAFF

[7]

FENG T, 2007, J E ASIA SOC TRANSPO, V6, P1490

[8] Integrating vehicle emission modeling with activity-based travel demand modeling - Case study of the greater Toronto, Canada, Area [J].

Hatzopoulou, Marianne ;

Miller, Eric J. ;

Santos, Bruno .

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD, 2007, (2011) :29-39

[9]

Kenworthy Jeffrey., 2001, MILLENNIUM CITIES DA

[10]

Kumbhakar S. C., 2003, STOCHASTIC FRONTIER

← 1 2 →