Implicit versus explicit vector management strategies in models for vector-borne disease epidemiology

被引:2
|
作者
Demers, Jeffery [1 ,2 ]
Robertson, Suzanne L. [3 ]
Bewick, Sharon [4 ]
Fagan, William F. [2 ]
机构
[1] Ctr Adv Syst Understanding CASUS, Gorlitz, Germany
[2] Univ Maryland, Dept Biol, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
[3] Virginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Math & Appl Math, Richmond, VA 23284 USA
[4] Clemson Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Clemson, SC 29631 USA
关键词
Vector-borne disease; Disease control; Mosquito control; Adulticide; Larvicide; Larval source reduction; BASIC REPRODUCTION NUMBER; DENGUE; DYNAMICS; TRANSMISSION;
D O I
10.1007/s00285-022-01742-2
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Throughout the vector-borne disease modeling literature, there exist two general frameworks for incorporating vector management strategies (e.g. area-wide adulticide spraying and larval source reduction campaigns) into vector population models, namely, the "implicit" and "explicit" control frameworks. The more simplistic "implicit" framework facilitates derivation of mathematically rigorous results on disease suppression and optimal control, but the biological connection of these results to real-world "explicit" control actions that could guide specific management actions is vague at best. Here, we formally define a biological and mathematical relationship between implicit and explicit control, and we provide mathematical expressions relating the strength of implicit control to management-relevant properties of explicit control for four common intervention strategies. These expressions allow the optimal control and basic reproduction number analyses typically utilized in implicit control modeling to be interpreted directly in terms of real-world actions and real-world monetary costs. Our methods reveal that only certain sub-classes of explicit control protocols are able to be represented as implicit controls, and that implicit control is a meaningful approximation of explicit control only when resonance-like synergistic effects between multiple explicit controls have negligible effects on population reduction. When non-negligible synergy exists, implicit control results, despite their mathematical tidiness, fail to provide accurate predictions regarding vector control and disease spread. Collectively, these elements build an effective bridge between analytically interesting and mathematically tractable implicit control and the challenging, action-oriented explicit control.
引用
收藏
页数:32
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Bites and mites: prevention and protection of vector-borne disease
    Javed, Saba
    Khan, Farhan
    Ramirez-Fort, Marigdalia
    Tyring, Stephen K.
    CURRENT OPINION IN PEDIATRICS, 2013, 25 (04) : 488 - 491
  • [22] The ecological dimensions of vector-borne disease research and control
    Ellis, Brett R.
    Wilcox, Bruce A.
    CADERNOS DE SAUDE PUBLICA, 2009, 25 : S155 - S167
  • [23] Impact of vector richness on the risk of vector-borne disease: The role of vector competence
    Chen, Lifan
    Tan, Zhiying
    Kong, Ping
    Zhou, Yanli
    Zhou, Liang
    ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, 2024, 14 (03):
  • [24] GLOBAL STABILITY OF AN EPIDEMIC MODEL FOR VECTOR-BORNE DISEASE
    Hongzhi YANG Faculty of Science
    Department of Mathematics
    JournalofSystemsScience&Complexity, 2010, 23 (02) : 279 - 292
  • [25] Global stability of an epidemic model for vector-borne disease
    Hongzhi Yang
    Huiming Wei
    Xuezhi Li
    Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2010, 23 : 279 - 292
  • [26] A Reaction-Diffusion Model of Vector-Borne Disease with Periodic Delays
    Wu, Ruiwen
    Zhao, Xiao-Qiang
    JOURNAL OF NONLINEAR SCIENCE, 2019, 29 (01) : 29 - 64
  • [27] Comparison of time series and mechanistic models of vector-borne diseases
    Vyhmeister, Eduardo
    Provan, Gregory
    Doyle, Blaine
    Bourke, Bian
    Castane, Gabriel G.
    Reyes-Bozo, Lorenzo
    SPATIAL AND SPATIO-TEMPORAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2022, 41
  • [28] Combatting the Increasing Threat of Vector-Borne Disease in the United States with a National Vector-Borne Disease Prevention and Control System
    Petersen, Lyle R.
    Beard, Charles B.
    Visser, Susanna N.
    AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, 2019, 100 (02) : 242 - 245
  • [29] THE SIZE OF A MAJOR EPIDEMIC OF A VECTOR-BORNE DISEASE
    Daley, Daryl J.
    Swift, Randall J.
    JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2011, 48A : 235 - 247
  • [30] Bifurcation Analysis in Models for Vector-Borne Diseases with Logistic Growth
    Li, Guihua
    Jin, Zhen
    SCIENTIFIC WORLD JOURNAL, 2014,