A Crash Course in Good and Bad Controls

被引:336
作者
Cinelli, Carlos [1 ]
Forney, Andrew [2 ]
Pearl, Judea [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Dept Stat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[2] Loyola Marymount Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90045 USA
[3] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Comp Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
causal inference; bad controls; back-door criterion; DAG; regression; CAUSAL INFERENCE; DIAGRAMS; MODELS; BIAS; IDENTIFICATION; SELECTION;
D O I
10.1177/00491241221099552
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Many students of statistics and econometrics express frustration with the way a problem known as "bad control" is treated in the traditional literature. The issue arises when the addition of a variable to a regression equation produces an unintended discrepancy between the regression coefficient and the effect that the coefficient is intended to represent. Avoiding such discrepancies presents a challenge to all analysts in the data intensive sciences. This note describes graphical tools for understanding, visualizing, and resolving the problem through a series of illustrative examples. By making this "crash course" accessible to instructors and practitioners, we hope to avail these tools to a broader community of scientists concerned with the causal interpretation of regression models.
引用
收藏
页码:1071 / 1104
页数:34
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