Not null enough: pseudo-null hypotheses in community ecology and comparative psychology

被引:14
作者
Bausman, William [1 ]
Halina, Marta [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Geneva, Dept Philosophy, Rue Candolle 2, CH-1211 Geneva 4, Switzerland
[2] Univ Cambridge, Dept Hist & Philosophy Sci, Free Sch Lane, Cambridge CB2 3RH, England
关键词
Null hypothesis; Community ecology; Neutral theory; Comparative psychology; Mindreading hypohesis; Reasoning strategy; ABUNDANCE; PARSIMONY;
D O I
10.1007/s10539-018-9640-4
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
We evaluate a common reasoning strategy used in community ecology and comparative psychology for selecting between competing hypotheses. This strategy labels one hypothesis as a null on the grounds of its simplicity and epistemically privileges it as accepted until rejected. We argue that this strategy is unjustified. The asymmetrical treatment of statistical null hypotheses is justified through the experimental and mathematical contexts in which they are used, but these contexts are missing in the case of the pseudo-null hypotheses found in our case studies. Moreover, statistical nulls are often not epistemically privileged in practice over their alternatives because failing to reject the null is usually a negative result about the alternative, experimental hypothesis. Scientists should eschew the appeal to pseudo-nulls. It is a rhetorical strategy that glosses over a commitment to valuing simplicity over other epistemic virtues in the name of good scientific and statistical methodology.
引用
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页数:20
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