Persistence in sequences of football match results: A Monte Carlo analysis

被引：21

作者：

Dobson, S

Goddard, J

机构：

[1] Univ Wales Swansea, Dept Econ, Swansea SA2 8PP, W Glam, Wales

[2] Univ Otago, Dept Econ, Dunedin, New Zealand

来源：

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH | 2003年 / 148卷 / 02期

关键词：

Monte Carlo analysis; simulations; persistence; football match results;

D O I：

10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00681-1

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

An empirical investigation of persistence in sequences of consecutive match results in (association) football is presented. A Monte Carlo analysis is used to generate sequences of simulated match results for heterogeneous teams under assumptions of zero persistence. A comparison between the simulated results and 30 years of observed match results data for the English Premier League and Football League provides evidence of a negative persistence effect. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：247 / 256

页数：10

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