Bayesian Interval Estimation for Predictive Values from Case-Control Studies

被引:2
作者
Stamey, James D. [1 ]
Holt, Melinda M. [2 ]
机构
[1] Baylor Univ, Dept Stat Sci, Waco, TX 76798 USA
[2] Sam Houston State Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Huntsville, TX 77340 USA
关键词
Case control; Interval estimation; Misclassification; CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS; PREVALENCE; DISEASE; ACCURACY;
D O I
10.1080/03610910903312219
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Positive predictive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) are often used to assess the accuracy of binary diagnostic tests. Unlike sensitivity and specificity, PPV and NPV are functions of the accuracy of the test and the overall prevalence of the disease in the population. In many studies of performance of estimators of PPV and NPV the population prevalence is assumed known. We allow for uncertainty in the estimate of the population prevalence and via simulation explore the impact of deviations from the assumed value.
引用
收藏
页码:101 / 110
页数:10
相关论文
共 14 条
  • [1] Simple and effective confidence intervals for proportions and differences of proportions result from adding two successes and two failures
    Agresti, A
    Caffo, B
    [J]. AMERICAN STATISTICIAN, 2000, 54 (04) : 280 - 288
  • [2] Understanding diagnostic tests 1: sensitivity, specificity and predictive values
    Akobeng, Anthony K.
    [J]. ACTA PAEDIATRICA, 2007, 96 (03) : 338 - 341
  • [3] *ALZH ASS, 2008, 2008 FACTS FIG
  • [4] Chu K., 1999, Emerg. Med, V11, P175, DOI [DOI 10.1046/J.1442-2026.1999.00041.X, 10.1046/j.1442-2026.1999.00041.x]
  • [5] SOURCES OF VARIABILITY IN PREVALENCE RATES OF ALZHEIMERS-DISEASE
    CORRADA, M
    BROOKMEYER, R
    KAWAS, C
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, 1995, 24 (05) : 1000 - 1005
  • [6] A likelihood approach to estimating sensitivity and specificity for binocular data: Application in ophthalmology
    de Leon, A. R.
    Guo, M.
    Rudnisky, C. J.
    Singh, G.
    [J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 2007, 26 (17) : 3300 - 3314
  • [7] Sample size determination for estimation of the accuracy of two conditionally independent tests in the absence of a gold standard
    Georgiadis, MP
    Johnson, WO
    Gardner, IA
    [J]. PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE, 2005, 71 (1-2) : 1 - 10
  • [8] Alzheimer disease in the US population - Prevalence estimates using the 2000 census
    Hebert, LE
    Scherr, PA
    Bienias, JL
    Bennett, DA
    Evans, DA
    [J]. ARCHIVES OF NEUROLOGY, 2003, 60 (08) : 1119 - 1122
  • [9] Association of late-onset Alzheimer's disease with genetic variation in multiple members of the GAPD gene family
    Li, Y
    Nowotny, P
    Holmans, P
    Smemo, S
    Kauwe, JSK
    Hinrichs, AL
    Tacey, K
    Doil, L
    van Luchene, R
    Garcia, V
    Rowland, C
    Schrodi, S
    Leong, D
    Gogic, G
    Chan, J
    Cravchik, A
    Ross, D
    Lau, K
    Kwok, S
    Chang, SY
    Catanese, J
    Sninsky, J
    White, TJ
    Hardy, J
    Powell, J
    Lovestone, S
    Morris, JC
    Thal, L
    Owen, M
    Williams, J
    Goate, A
    Grupe, A
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2004, 101 (44) : 15688 - 15693
  • [10] Confidence intervals for predictive values with an emphasis to case-control studies
    Mercaldo, Nathaniel D.
    Lau, Kit F.
    Zhou, Xiao H.
    [J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 2007, 26 (10) : 2170 - 2183