Tumour cell proliferation (Ki-67) in non-small cell lung cancer: a critical reappraisal of its prognostic role

Background: Uncontrolled proliferation is a hallmark of malignant tumour growth. Its prognostic role in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has been investigated in numerous studies with controversial results. We aimed to resolve these controversies by assessing the Ki-67 proliferation index (PI) in three large, independent NSCLC cohorts. Methods: Proliferation index was retrospectively analysed by immunohistochemistry in a cohort of 1065 NSCLC and correlated with clinicopathological data including outcome and therapy. Results were validated in two independent cohorts of 233 squamous cell carcinomas (SQCC) and 184 adenocarcinomas (ADC). Results: Proliferation index (overall mean: 40.7%) differed significantly according to histologic subtypes with SQCC showing a mean PI (52.8%) twice as high as ADC (25.8%). In ADC PI was tightly linked to growth patterns. In SQCC and ADC opposing effects of PI on overall (OS), disease-specific and disease-free survival were evident, in ADC high PI (optimised validated cut-off: 25%) was a stage-independent negative prognosticator (hazard ratio, HR OS: 1.56, P = 0.004). This prognostic effect was largely attenuated by adjuvant radio-/chemotherapy. In SQCC high PI (optimised validated cut-off: 50%) was associated with better survival (HR OS: 0.65, P = 0.007). Conclusions: Our data demonstrate that PI is a clinically meaningful biomarker in NSCLC with entity-dependent cut-off values that allow reliable estimation of prognosis and may potentially stratify ADC patients for the need of adjuvant therapy.