The COVID-19 pandemic's effects on voter turnout

被引:28
作者
Picchio, Matteo [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Santolini, Raffaella [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Marche Polytech Univ, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Ancona, Italy
[2] Univ Ghent, Dept Econ, Ghent, Belgium
[3] IZA Inst Labor Econ, Bonn, Germany
[4] GLO Global Labor Org, Essen, Germany
[5] Marche Polytech Univ, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Piazzale Martelli 8, I-60121 Ancona, Italy
关键词
COVID-19; outbreak; Voter turnout; Mortality rate; Italian municipalities; GENDER-DIFFERENCES; PREFERENCES; INFERENCE; MORTALITY; GAP;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102161
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the risk of participating in public events, among them elections. We assess whether the voter turnout in the 2020 local government elections in Italy was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. We do so by exploiting the variation among municipalities in the intensity of the COVID-19 outbreak as measured by the mortality rate among the elderly. We find that a 1 percentage point increase in the elderly mortality rate decreased the voter turnout by 0.5 percentage points, with no gender differences in the behavioural response. The effect was especially strong in densely populated municipalities. We do not detect statistically significant differences in voter turnout among different levels of autonomy from the central government.
引用
收藏
页数:15
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