Incidence and Long-Term Survival of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

被引:12
作者
Li, Xianqi [1 ]
Zhang, Li [1 ]
Wolfe, Charles D. A. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Wang, Yanzhong [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Kings Coll London, Sch Life Course & Populat Sci, London, England
[2] Guys & St ThomasNHS Fdn Trust, Natl Inst Hlth Res, NIHR Biomed Res Ctr BRC, London, England
[3] NIHR Appl Res Collaborat ARC South London, London, England
基金
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
intracerebral hemorrhage; stroke; incidence; survival; systematic review; meta-analysis; CASE-FATALITY RATES; MELBOURNE STROKE INCIDENCE; 1ST-EVER STROKE; TEMPORAL TRENDS; RISK-FACTORS; RECURRENT STROKE; YOUNG-ADULTS; CARIBBEAN POPULATION; JAPANESE POPULATION; WHITE-POPULATIONS;
D O I
10.3389/fneur.2022.819737
中图分类号
R74 [神经病学与精神病学];
学科分类号
摘要
Background and Purpose:& nbsp;& nbsp;Recent epidemiological data indicate that the absolute number of hemorrhagic stroke cases increased by 47% between 1990 and 2010 and continued to cause high rates of death and disability. The last systematic review and meta-analysis of incidence and long-term survival of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) were published 11 and 7 years ago, respectively, and lacked comparison between different income groups, therefore, a more up to date analysis is needed. We aim to investigate the ICH incidence and long-term survival data in countries of different income groups.& nbsp;Materials Methods:& nbsp;We systematically searched Ovid Medline for population-based longitudinal studies of first-ever spontaneous ICH published from January 2000 to December 2020. We performed meta-analyses on the incidence and survival rate in countries of 4 different income groups with random-effects models (severe inconsistency). The I-2 was used to measure the heterogeneity. Heterogeneity was further investigated by conducting the meta-regression on the study mid-year. Time trends of the survival rate were assessed by weighted linear regression.& nbsp;Results:& nbsp;We identified 84 eligible papers, including 68 publications reporting incidence and 24 publications on the survival rate. The pooled incidence of ICH per 100,000 per person-years was 26.47 (95% CI: 21.84-32.07) worldwide, 25.9 (95% CI: 22.63-29.63) in high-income countries (HIC), 28.45 (95% CI: 15.90-50.88) in upper-middle-income countries, and 31.73 (95% CI: 18.41-54.7) in lower-middle-income countries. The 1-year pooled survival rate was from 50% (95% CI: 47-54%; n = 4,380) worldwide to 50% (95% CI: 47-54%) in HIC, and 46% (95% CI: 38-55%) in upper-middle income countries. The 5-year pooled survival rate was 41% (95% CI: 35-48%; n = 864) worldwide, 41% (95% CI: 32-50%) in high-income and upper-middle countries. No publications were found reporting the long-term survival in lower-middle-income and low-income countries. No time trends in incidence or survival were found by meta-regression.& nbsp;Conclusion:& nbsp;The pooled ICH incidence was highest in lower-middle-income countries. About half of ICH patients survived 1 year, and about two-fifths survived 5 years. Reliable population-based studies estimating the ICH incidence and long-term survival in low-income and low-middle-income countries are needed to help prevention of ICH.& nbsp;
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页数:15
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