The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020

被引：8

作者：

Frio, Gustavo Saraiva ^{[1
,2
]}

Russo, Leticia Xander ^{[3
]}

de Albuquerque, Cleandro Pires ^{[4
]}

Henrique da Mota, Licia Maria ^{[5
]}

Barros-Areal, Adriana Ferreira ^{[6
]}

Alves Oliveira, Andrea Pedrosa Ribeiro ^{[7
]}

Firmino-Machado, Joao ^{[8
]}

da Silva, Everton Nunes ^{[9
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Brasilia, Fac Hlth Sci, Grad Program Collect Hlth, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

[2] Univ Catolica Pelotas, Pelotas, RS, Brazil

[3] Fed Univ Grande Dourados, Dept Econ, Dourados, MS, Brazil

[4] Univ Brasilia, Univ Hosp Brasilia, Fac Med, Grad Program Med Sci, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

[5] Univ Brasilia, Fac Med, Grad Program Med Sci, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

[6] Univ Brasilia, Fac Med, Hlth Dept Fed Dist SES DF, Grad Program Med Sci, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

[7] Univ Brasilia, Univ Hosp Brasilia, Fac Med, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

[8] Univ Porto, Fac Med, Inst Publ Hlth ISPUP, Porto, Portugal

[9] Univ Brasilia, Fac Hlth Sci, Fac Ceilandia, Grad Program Collect Hlth, Brasilia, DF, Brazil

来源：

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 2022年 / 12卷 / 01期

关键词：

SURGERY;

D O I：

10.1038/s41598-022-13746-5

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Elective procedures were temporarily suspended several times over the course of the pandemic of COVID-19. Monthly data from the Unified Health System (SUS) were used for the period between January 2008 and December 2020 and the interrupted time series method was used to estimate the effect of the pandemic on the number of elective surgeries and elective procedures that were not performed. Considering a 9-month period, a reduction of 46% in the number of elective procedures carried out in the SUS could be attributed to COVID-19, corresponding to about 828,429 elective procedures cancelled, ranging from 549,921 to 1,106,936. To a full recovery of pre-pandemic performance, SUS would need to increase about 21,362 hospital beds, ranging from 12,370 to 36,392 hospital beds during a 6 month-period. This effort would represent an increase of 8.48% (ranging from 4.91 to 14.45%) in relation to the total number of SUS's hospital beds in 2019. As a result, the pandemic will leave a large number of elective procedures to be carried out, which will require efforts by health agencies to meet this demand.

引用

页数：8

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