Climate extremes related with rainfall in the State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: a review of climatological characteristics and recorded trends

被引:23
作者
Luiz-Silva, Wanderson [1 ,2 ]
Oscar-Junior, Antonio Carlos [3 ]
机构
[1] Fed Univ Rio de Janeiro UFRJ, Inst Geosci, Dept Meteorol, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[2] Fluminense Fed Univ UFF, Postgrad Program Civil Def & Secur, Niteroi, RJ, Brazil
[3] Rio de Janeiro State Univ UERJ, Dept Phys Geog, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
基金
英国科研创新办公室;
关键词
Climate change; Climate extremes; Climatology; Natural hazards; Precipitation; Rio de Janeiro; SPATIAL INTERPOLATION METHODS; METROPOLITAN-AREA; NATURAL HAZARDS; PRECIPITATION; VULNERABILITY; VARIABILITY; INTENSITY; INDEXES; MAXIMUM; EVENTS;
D O I
10.1007/s11069-022-05409-5
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
This paper presents a synthesis of the main characteristics of precipitation in the State of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) based on extreme rainfall indicators. Daily precipitation data are derived from 56 rainfall stations during the second half of the twentieth century and the 2000s. Eight indices related to extreme precipitation were analyzed. The Mann-Kendall nonparametric test and the Sen's Curvature were employed to evaluate the significance and magnitude of trends. The primary climatological aspects and identified trends throughout the last decades are discussed, besides the hydrometeorological impacts associated with them. Lower values of annual total precipitation are recorded in northern Rio de Janeiro (around 800 mm) and higher in the southern State (up to 2,200 mm). The Serra do Mar affects the frequency of heavy precipitation, and the areas near the sea and high relief present the highest values of consecutive days with expressive rainfall (more than 150 mm in 5 days). These areas also showed a high concentration of flood and landslides events. Most of Rio de Janeiro exhibits precipitation intensity of about 13 mm/day. The maximum number of consecutive dry days shows a gradient from the coast (about 30 days) to the State's interior (around 50 days). Regarding trends, there is a growth of accumulated extreme precipitation in various stations near the ocean. The extreme rainfall in 24 h displays an increase in most Rio de Janeiro (+ 1 to + 5 mm/decade). The consecutive dry and rainy days present similar signs of decreasing trends, suggesting irregularly distributed precipitation in the State. This study is especially relevant for decision-makers who need detailed information in the short and long term to prevent natural hazards like floods and landslides and the related impacts in the environmental and socioeconomic sectors of the Rio de Janeiro.
引用
收藏
页码:713 / 732
页数:20
相关论文
共 68 条
[21]   A review of multi-risk methodologies for natural hazards: Consequences and challenges for a climate change impact assessment [J].
Gallina, Valentina ;
Torresan, Silvia ;
Critto, Andrea ;
Sperotto, Anna ;
Glade, Thomas ;
Marcomini, Antonio .
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT, 2016, 168 :123-132
[22]  
GOOSSENS C, 1986, ANN GEOPHYS B-TERR P, V4, P385
[23]  
Hiez GLG, 1983, P BRAZILIAN WATER RE
[24]  
IBGEInstituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica, 2018, BAS CART CONTN EST R
[25]  
INEAinstituto estadual do ambiente, 2013, RES CONS EST REC HDR
[26]  
IPCC intergovernmental panel on climate change, 2021, CONTRIBUTION WORKING
[27]  
Isaaks EH., 1989, An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics
[28]  
Jha KA., 2012, CIDADES INUNDACOES G
[29]   CLIVAR/GCOS/WMO Workshop on Indices and Indicators for Climate Extremes - Workshop summary [J].
Karl, TR ;
Nicholls, N ;
Ghazi, A .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 1999, 42 (01) :3-7
[30]  
Kendall M.G., 1963, ADV THEORY STAT