Comparative evaluation of copeptin and NT-proBNP in patients with severe acute decompensated heart failure, and prediction of adverse events in a 90-day follow-up period: A prospective clinical observation trial

The present study compared the prognostic value of a marker, the C-terminal section of the arginine vasopressin prohormone (copeptin), with N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with severe acute decompensated heart failure. A prospective, observational cohort study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital and enrolled 129 patients with severe acute decompensated heart failure. Clinicians were blinded to investigational markers except NT-proBNP, and the study participants were followed up for 90 days. The end-point was a composite of cardiovascular death or re-hospitalization due to decompensated heart failure. Of the 129 patients enrolled, 47 reached the end-point and 82 were in a stable condition during follow-up. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that the areas under curve for the prediction of adverse events within 90 days were similar for copeptin [0.602 +/- 0.052; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.499-0.705], NT-proBNP (0.659 +/- 0.048; 95% CI, 0.565-0.753) and their combination (0.670 +/- 0.050; 95% CI, 0.573-0.767). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the predictive value of NT-proBNP regarding the probability of survival was superior compared with that of copeptin (log-rank test for trend, P=0.001 vs. 0.040). Furthermore, multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis revealed that increased NT-proBNP and copeptin plasma concentrations were significant independent predictors of adverse events. The present study provided evidence that copeptin has similar predictive properties compared with NT-proBNP regarding adverse events within 90-days in patients with severe acute decompensated heart failure, but that copeptin may not provide superior 90-day prediction compared to NT-proBNP.