Patent-Based Predictive Price-to-Earnings Ratio on Increasing Investment Performance of China Stock Market

被引:1
作者
Li, ZhaoHui [1 ]
Deng, GuangYun [1 ]
Che, HuiChung [2 ]
机构
[1] Shenzhen GongBiao Intellectual Property Judicial, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China
[2] Shenzhen TekGlory Intellectual Property Data Tech, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China
来源
2020 13TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND DESIGN (ISCID 2020) | 2020年
关键词
Patent Indicator; Granger Causality test; Time Series Regression; China A-share; Stock Performance; Price-to-Earnings; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; INNOVATION;
D O I
10.1109/ISCID51228.2020.00097
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
China listed companies (A-shares) in Shanghai Main Board, Shenzhen Main Board, GE Board, and SME Board are discussed the prediction ability of patent indicators to A-share's price-to-earnings ratio (PE). We constructed patent leading indicators and patent prediction equations for predicting PE via Granger Causality test and time series regression. We found the stock selection criteria by the higher predictive PE growth rate is useful to build valuable stock portfolios for Shanghai Main Board and Shenzhen Main Board with better performance than the market trend. It also worked well on SME Board though is was seriously impacted by China-US trade conflict.
引用
收藏
页码:401 / 405
页数:5
相关论文
共 19 条
  • [1] Branch B., 2010, Int Rev Financ Anal, V19, P358, DOI [10.1016/j.irfa.2010.06.001, DOI 10.1016/J.IRFA.2010.06.001]
  • [2] Flow Signals: Evidence from Patent and Alliance Portfolios in the US Biopharmaceutical Industry
    Caner, Turanay
    Bruyaka, Olga
    Prescott, John E.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 2018, 55 (02) : 232 - 264
  • [3] Chayawat C., 2019, WATER AIR SOIL POLL, V45, P50, DOI [DOI 10.1007/s11270-007-9372-6, DOI 10.1016/J.AMJMS.2021.03.001,00089-6]
  • [4] Chiu Y.J., 2020, 2020 INT C BUS ADM F
  • [5] Chiu Y.J., 2020, 3 INT C EC MAN TECHN
  • [6] Does Patent Help to Build Investment Portfolio of China A-Shares under China-US Trade Conflict?
    Chiu, Yu-Jing
    Chen, Kuang-Chin
    Che, Hui-Chung
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING, 2020, 2020
  • [7] Crossan MM, 2010, J MANAGE STUD, V47, P1154, DOI [10.1111/j.1467-6486.2009.00880.x, 10.1111/J.1467-6486.2009.00880.X]
  • [8] Patent statistics: A good indicator for innovation in China? Patent subsidy program impacts on patent quality
    Dang, Jianwei
    Motohashi, Kanyuki
    [J]. CHINA ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2015, 35 : 137 - 155
  • [9] Deng Z., 1999, FINANC ANAL J, V55, P20
  • [10] The Patent Asset Index - A new approach to benchmark patent portfolios
    Ernst, Holger
    Omland, Nils
    [J]. WORLD PATENT INFORMATION, 2011, 33 (01) : 34 - 41