Short-Term Interest Rates and Stock Market Anomalies

被引:36
作者
Maio, Paulo [1 ]
Santa-Clara, Pedro [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Hanken Sch Econ, Dept Finance & Stat, Helsinki, Finland
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Nova Sch Business & Econ, Dept Finance, Cambridge, MA USA
[3] Ctr Econ Policy Res, Washington, DC USA
关键词
ASSET-PRICING-MODELS; MONETARY-POLICY; CROSS-SECTION; SPECIFICATION ERRORS; BUSINESS CONDITIONS; DIVIDEND YIELDS; RISK-FACTORS; CASH FLOW; RETURNS; INVESTMENT;
D O I
10.1017/S002210901700028X
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We present a simple 2-factor model that helps explain several capital asset pricing model (CAPM) anomalies (value premium, return reversal, equity duration, asset growth, and inventory growth). The model is consistent with Merton's intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) framework, and the key risk factor is the innovation on a short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate, or the T-bill rate. This model explains a large fraction of the dispersion in the average returns of the joint market anomalies. Moreover, the model compares favorably with alternative multifactor models widely used in the literature. Hence, short-term interest rates seem to be relevant for explaining several dimensions of cross-sectional equity risk premia.
引用
收藏
页码:927 / 961
页数:35
相关论文
共 99 条
[1]   Financial Intermediaries and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns [J].
Adrian, Tobias ;
Etula, Erkko ;
Muir, Tyler .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2014, 69 (06) :2557-2596
[2]   Stock return predictability: Is it there? [J].
Ang, Andrew ;
Bekaert, Geert .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2007, 20 (03) :651-707
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2003, WORKING PAPER
[4]   The intertemporal capital asset pricing model with dynamic conditional correlations [J].
Bali, Turan G. ;
Engle, Robert F. .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2010, 57 (04) :377-390
[5]   Money and the C-CAPM [J].
Balvers, Ronald J. ;
Huang, Dayong .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 2009, 44 (02) :337-368
[7]   The Inventory Growth Spread [J].
Belo, Frederico ;
Lin, Xiaoji .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2012, 25 (01) :278-313
[8]   FINANCIAL FRAGILITY AND ECONOMIC-PERFORMANCE [J].
BERNANKE, B ;
GERTLER, M .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1990, 105 (01) :87-114
[9]  
BERNANKE B, 1989, AM ECON REV, V79, P14
[10]  
Bernanke Ben., 1994, Review of Economics and Statistics, V78, P1