A Bayesian approach to abrupt concept drift

被引:5
作者
Cano, Andres [1 ]
Gomez-Olmedo, Manuel [1 ]
Moral, Serafin [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Granada, Dept Ciencias Comp & IA, E-18071 Granada, Spain
关键词
Concept drift; Dynamic Bayesian networks; Change detection; Propagation algorithms; CLASSIFIERS;
D O I
10.1016/j.knosys.2019.104909
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a model for estimating probabilities in the presence of abrupt concept drift. This proposal is based on a dynamic Bayesian network. As the exact estimation of the parameters is unfeasible we propose an approximate procedure based on discretizing both the possible probability values and the parameter representing the probability of change. The result is a method which is quite efficient in time and space (with a complexity directly related to the number of points used in the discretization) and providing very accurate predictions as well. These benefits are checked with a detailed comparison with other standard procedures based on variable size windows or forgetting rates. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:14
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