Cholera dynamics and El Nino-Southern Oscillation

被引：353

作者：

Pascual, M

Rodó, X

Ellner, SP

Colwell, R

Bouma, MJ

机构：

[1] Univ Maryland, Ctr Marine Biotechnol, Inst Biotechnol, Columbus Ctr, Baltimore, MD 21202 USA

[2] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Biol, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA

[3] Univ Barcelona, Dept Ecol, E-08028 Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain

[4] PCB Univ Barcelona, Climat Res Grp, E-08028 Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain

[5] Cornell Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA

[6] Univ Maryland, Dept Cell & Mol Biol, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

[7] Univ London London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Infect & Trop Dis, London WC1E 7HT, England

来源：

SCIENCE | 2000年 / 289卷 / 5485期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.289.5485.1766

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Analysis of a monthly 18-year cholera time series from Bangladesh shows that the temporal variability of cholera exhibits an interannual component at the dominant frequency of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Results from nonlinear time series analysis support a role for both ENSO and previous disease Levels in the dynamics of cholera. Cholera patterns are Linked to the previously described changes in the atmospheric circulation of south Asia and, consistent with these changes, to regional temperature anomalies.

引用

页码：1766 / 1769

页数：4

共 28 条

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