Ozone modelling and mapping for risk assessment: An overview of different approaches for human and ecosystems health

被引:44
作者
De Marco, Alessandra [1 ]
Garcia-Gomez, Hector [2 ]
Collalti, Alessio [3 ]
Khaniabadi, Yusef Omidi [4 ]
Feng, Zhaozhong [5 ]
Proietti, Chiara [6 ]
Sicard, Pierre [7 ]
Vitale, Marcello [8 ]
Anav, Alessandro [1 ]
Paoletti, Elena [9 ]
机构
[1] ENEA, CR Casaccia, Via Anguillarese, Rome, Italy
[2] CIEMAT, Avda Complutense 40, Madrid, Spain
[3] ISAFOM CNR, Forest Modelling Lab, Via Madonna Alta, Perugia, Italy
[4] Petr Ind Hlth Org PIHO, Dept Environm Hlth Engn, Ind Medial & Hlth, Ahvaz, Iran
[5] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci Technol, Sch Appl Meteorol, Key Lab Agrometeorol Jiangsu Prov, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
[6] ISPRAMBIENTE, Via VitalianoBrancati, Rome, Italy
[7] ARGANS, Route Pin Montard, Biot, France
[8] Sapienza Univ Rome, Piazzale Aldo Moro, Rome, Italy
[9] IRET CNR, Via Madonna Piano, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Tropospheric ozone; Modelling and mapping; Chemical transport model; Geostatistics; Ensemble models; GROUND-LEVEL OZONE; DOSE-RESPONSE RELATIONSHIPS; FINE PARTICULATE MATTER; LONG-TERM IMPACTS; AIR-POLLUTION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; GLOBAL BURDEN; SURFACE OZONE; AMBIENT OZONE; SPATIAL SCALE;
D O I
10.1016/j.envres.2022.113048
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Tropospheric ozone (O-3) is one of the most concernedair pollutants dueto its widespread impacts on land vegetated ecosystems and human health. Ozone is also the third greenhouse gas for radiative forcing. Consequently, it should be carefully and continuously monitored to estimate its potential adverse impacts especially inthose regions where concentrations are high. Continuous large-scale O-3 concentrations measurement is crucial but may be unfeasible because of economic and practical limitations; therefore, quantifying the real impact of O(3)over large areas is currently an open challenge. Thus, one of the final objectives of O-3 modelling is to reproduce maps of continuous concentrations (both spatially and temporally) and risk assessment for human and ecosystem health. We here reviewedthe most relevant approaches used for O-3 modelling and mapping starting from the simplest geo-statistical approaches andincreasing in complexity up to simulations embedded into the global/regional circulation models and pro and cons of each mode are highlighted. The analysis showed that a simpler approach (mostly statistical models) is suitable for mapping O-3 concentrationsat the local scale, where enough O-3 concentration data are available. The associated error in mapping can be reduced by using more complex methodologies, based on co-variables. The models available at the regional or global level are used depending on the needed resolution and the domain where they are applied to. Increasing the resolution corresponds to an increase in the prediction but only up to a certain limit. However, with any approach, the ensemble models should be preferred.
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页数:11
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