Explainable artificial intelligence for crypto asset allocation

被引:25
作者
Babaei, Golnoosh [1 ]
Giudici, Paolo [2 ]
Raffinetti, Emanuela [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pavia, Via San Felice 5, I-27100 Pavia, Italy
[2] Univ Pavia, Dept Econ & Management, Via San Felice 5, I-27100 Pavia, Italy
关键词
Machine learning; Shapley values; Robo-advisory;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2022.102941
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Many investors have been attracted by Crypto assets in the last few years. However, despite the possibility of gaining high returns, investors bear high risks in crypto markets. To help investors and make the markets more reliable, Robot advisory services are rapidly expanding in the field of crypto asset allocation. Robot advisors not only reduce costs but also improve the quality of the service by involving investors and make the market more transparent. However, the reason behind the given solutions is not clear and users face a black-box model that is complex. The aim of this paper is to improve trustworthiness of robot advisors, to facilitate their adoption. For this purpose, we apply Shapley values to the predictions generated by a machine learning model based on the results of a dynamic Markowitz portfolio optimization model and provide explanations for what is behind the selected portfolio weights.
引用
收藏
页数:7
相关论文
共 25 条
  • [1] Peeking Inside the Black-Box: A Survey on Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
    Adadi, Amina
    Berrada, Mohammed
    [J]. IEEE ACCESS, 2018, 6 : 52138 - 52160
  • [2] Tail risk measurement in crypto-asset markets
    Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix
    Giudici, Paolo
    Mojtahedi, Fatemeh
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2021, 73
  • [3] Prediction of cryptocurrency returns using machine learning
    Akyildirim, Erdinc
    Goncu, Ahmet
    Sensoy, Ahmet
    [J]. ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2021, 297 (1-2) : 3 - 36
  • [4] Alessandretti L., 2018, Machine Learning the Cryptocurrency Market, DOI [10.2139/ssrn.3183792, DOI 10.2139/SSRN.3183792]
  • [5] Cryptocurrency-portfolios in a mean-variance framework
    Brauneis, Alexander
    Mestel, Roland
    [J]. FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 28 : 259 - 264
  • [6] Explainable Machine Learning in Credit Risk Management
    Bussmann, Niklas
    Giudici, Paolo
    Marinelli, Dimitri
    Papenbrock, Jochen
    [J]. COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2021, 57 (01) : 203 - 216
  • [7] Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market
    Chokor, Ahmad
    Alfieri, Elise
    [J]. QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2021, 81 : 157 - 173
  • [8] Derbentsev V., 2020, ADV STUDIES FINANCIA, P211
  • [9] Network models to improve robot advisory portfolios
    Giudici, Paolo
    Polinesi, Gloria
    Spelta, Alessandro
    [J]. ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2022, 313 (02) : 965 - 989
  • [10] Explainable AI methods in cyber risk management
    Giudici, Paolo
    Raffinetti, Emanuela
    [J]. QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL, 2022, 38 (03) : 1318 - 1326