When Experience Meets Description: How Dyads Integrate Experiential and Descriptive Information in Risky Decisions

被引:11
作者
Lejarraga, Tomas [1 ]
Muller-Trede, Johannes [2 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Human Dev, Ctr Adapt Rational, D-14195 Berlin, Germany
[2] Univ Calif San Diego, Rady Sch Management, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
基金
瑞士国家科学基金会; 美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
decisions from experience; group decisions; joint decisions; decisions under risk; decisions under uncertainty; information search; decision making; experiential learning; PARAMETER-FREE ELICITATION; PROSPECT-THEORY; INFLUENCES SEARCH; ADVICE; CHOICE; JUDGMENT; FEEDBACK; OUTCOMES; GAP;
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.2016.2428
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
How do teams make joint decisions under risk when some team members learn about a prospect from description and others learn from experience? In a series of experiments, we find that two-person teams composed of one participant who learns from description and a second participant who learns from experience arrive at shared decisions via mutual concessions. In doing so, they attenuate individual biases, such as the overweighting and underweighting of the probability of rare events. The social interaction thus leads dyads to make shared decisions that follow normative standards more closely than the decisions made by individual decision makers. Finally, in processing experiential information, dyads appear to be sensitive to the reliability of the experience: the more reliable the experiential information, the larger its influence on the dyad's decision.
引用
收藏
页码:1953 / 1971
页数:19
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