Delphi: Somewhere between Scylla and Charybdis?

被引：8

作者：

Bolger, Fergus ^{[1
]}

Rowe, Gene ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Durham, Dept Management, Durham DH1 3LB, England

[2] Gene Rowe Evaluat, Norwich NR2 3HT, Norfolk, England

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA | 2014年 / 111卷 / 41期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1073/pnas.1415425111

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

引用

收藏

页码：E4284 / E4284

页数：1

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[1] Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters? [J].

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Wright, George ;

Yearwood, John .

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[2] Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research [J].

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[3] Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy [J].

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[4] The Delphi technique: Past, present, and future prospects - Introduction to the special issue [J].

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Wright, George .

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2011, 78 (09) :1487-1490