Serum albumin at resection predicts in-hospital death, while serum lactate and aPTT on the first postoperative day anticipate anastomotic leakage after Ivor-Lewis-esophagectomy

Background Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a major complication after esophagectomy, potentiating morbidity and mortality. There are several patient risk factors associated with AL, but high-fidelity postoperative predictors are still under debate. The aim was to identify novel reliable predictors for AL after esophagectomy. Methods A high-volume single-center database study, including 138 patients receiving Ivor-Lewis-esophagectomy between 2017 and 2019, was performed. Serum levels of albumin, aPTT, and lactate before and after surgery were extracted to assess their impact on AL and in-hospital mortality. Results High serum lactate on postoperative day 1 (POD1) could be shown to predict AL after esophagectomy [AL vs. no AL: 1.2 (0.38) vs. 1.0 (0.37); p < 0.001]. Accordingly, also differences of serum lactate level between end (POD0-2) and start of surgery (POD0-1) (p < 0.001) as well as between POD1 and POD0-1 (p < 0.001) were associated with AL. Accordingly, logistic regression identified serum lactate on POD 1 as an independent predictor of AL [HR: 4.37 (95% CI: 1.28-14.86); p = 0.018]. Further, low serum albumin on POD0 [2.6 (0.53) vs. 3.1 (0.56); p = 0.001] and high serum lactate on POD 0-1 [1.1 (0.29) vs. 0.9 (0.30); p = 0.043] were associated with in-hospital death. Strikingly, logistic-regression (HR: 0.111; p = 0.008) and cox-regression analysis (HR: 0.118; p = 0.003) showed low serum albumin as an independently predictor for in-hospital death after esophagectomy. Conclusions This study identified high serum lactate as an independent predictor of AL and low serum albumin as a high-fidelity predictor of in-hospital death after esophagectomy. These parameters can facilitate improved postoperative treatment leading to better short-term as well as long-term outcomes.