Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments

被引:23
|
作者
Hansen, Lars Peter [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Miao, Jianjun [4 ,5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Chicago, Dept Econ, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[2] Univ Chicago, Dept Stat, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[3] Univ Chicago, Booth Sch Business, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[4] Boston Univ, Dept Econ, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[5] Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Inst Chinese Financial Studies, Chengdu 610074, Sichuan, Peoples R China
[6] Cent Univ Finance & Econ, China Econ & Management Acad, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
关键词
uncertainty; robustness; misspecification; ambiguity; risk; DIFFERENTIAL UTILITY; CONTINUOUS-TIME; ASSET RETURNS; PREFERENCES; SYSTEMS; AXIOM; GAMES; RISK;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1811243115
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:9163 / 9168
页数:6
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