Machine Learning Based Power Grid Outage Prediction in Response to Extreme Events

被引:117
作者
Eskandarpour, Rozhin [1 ]
Khodaei, Amin [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Denver, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Denver, CO 80210 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Extreme events; machine learning; power system resilience; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK;
D O I
10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2631895
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
A machine learning based prediction method is proposed in this paper to determine the potential outage of power grid components in response to an imminent hurricane. The decision boundary, which partitions the components' states into two sets of damaged and operational, is obtained via logistic regression by using a second-order function and proper parameter fitting. Two metrics are examined to validate the performance of the obtained decision boundary in efficiently predicting component outages.
引用
收藏
页码:3315 / 3316
页数:2
相关论文
共 7 条
[1]  
Berg R., 2009, Tropical cyclone report: Hurricane Ike
[2]   Logistic regression and artificial neural network classification models: a methodology review [J].
Dreiseitl, S ;
Ohno-Machado, L .
JOURNAL OF BIOMEDICAL INFORMATICS, 2002, 35 (5-6) :352-359
[3]   Natural disaster risk analysis for critical infrastructure systems: An approach based on statistical learning theory [J].
Guikema, Seth D. .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2009, 94 (04) :855-860
[4]   Comparison and Validation of Statistical Methods for Predicting Power Outage Durations in the Event of Hurricanes [J].
Nateghi, Roshanak ;
Guikema, Seth D. ;
Quiring, Steven M. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2011, 31 (12) :1897-1906
[5]  
Teo TT, 2015, 2015 IEEE INNOVATIVE SMART GRID TECHNOLOGIES - ASIA (ISGT ASIA)
[6]   Artificial neural network and support vector machine approach for locating faults in radial distribution systems [J].
Thukaram, D ;
Khincha, HP ;
Vijaynarasimha, HP .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, 2005, 20 (02) :710-721
[7]   Machine-learning approaches to power-system security assessment [J].
Wehenkel, L .
IEEE EXPERT-INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS & THEIR APPLICATIONS, 1997, 12 (05) :60-72