Quo vadis, hydrology?

被引：2

作者：

Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Polish Acad Sci, Dept Climate & Water Resources, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan, Poland

[2] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Res Domain 2, Potsdam, Germany

[3] Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Geog & Remote Sensing, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

来源：

HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL | 2018年 / 63卷 / 08期

基金：

欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

hydrology; research challenges; stationarity; extremes; projections; PROJECTED CLIMATE-CHANGE; FRESH-WATER RESOURCES; FLOOD HAZARD; MANAGEMENT; MODELS; STATIONARITY; CREDIBILITY; DECADE; SHIFT; DEAD;

D O I：

10.1080/02626667.2018.1489597

中图分类号：

TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];

学科分类号：

081501 ;

摘要：

This is an invited essay by the Dooge Medallist of the 2017 International Hydrological Prize. The paper reflects a broad perspective on hydrology, as a result of the author's long experience. It is suggested that transgressing the traditional hydrological perspective, by increasing the scale of research, as well as interdisciplinarization have been, and are likely to remain, key drivers of the development of hydrology. Gaps in knowledge and research challenges are reviewed, and the interlinked areas of stationarity, extremes and projections for the future are discussed. Finally, after reviewing the achievements of Jim Dooge, examples of others following in his footsteps are presented.

引用

页码：1118 / 1132

页数：15

共 73 条

[1]

[Anonymous], 2016, ECOL SOC, DOI DOI 10.5751/ES-08921-210453

[2]

[Anonymous], 2016, ECOL SOC, DOI DOI 10.5751/ES-08854-210452

[3]

[Anonymous], 2012, Challenges and Opportunities in the Hydrologic Sciences, DOI DOI 10.17226/13293

[4] Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling [J].

Archfield, Stacey A. ;

Clark, Martyn ;

Arheimer, Berit ;

Hay, Lauren E. ;

McMillan, Hilary ;

Kiang, Julie E. ;

Seibert, Jan ;

Hakala, Kirsti ;

Bock, Andrew ;

Wagener, Thorsten ;

Farmer, William H. ;

Andreassian, Vazken ;

Attinger, Sabine ;

Viglione, Alberto ;

Knight, Rodney ;

Markstrom, Steven ;

Over, Thomas .

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2015, 51 (12) :10078-10091

[5]

Bates B. C., 2008, Climate change and water: technical paper of the intergovernmental panel on climate change, IPCC

[6]

Beven K.J., 1986, Scale Problems in Hydrology: Runoff Generation and Basin Response, P107, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-94-009-4678-1_6

[7] Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface [J].

Beven, Keith ;

Cloke, Hannah ;

Pappenberger, Florian ;

Lamb, Rob ;

Hunter, Neil .

SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2015, 58 (01) :25-35

[8] Concepts of Information Content and Likelihood in Parameter Calibration for Hydrological Simulation Models [J].

Beven, Keith ;

Smith, Paul .

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING, 2015, 20 (01)

[9] I believe in climate change but how precautionary do we need to be in planning for the future? [J].

Beven, Keith .

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2011, 25 (09) :1517-1520

[10] On hypothesis testing in hydrology: Why falsification of models is still a really good idea [J].

Beven, Keith J. .

WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER, 2018, 5 (03)

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 →