Best practice for the use of scenarios for restoration planning

被引:53
作者
Metzger, Jean Paul [1 ]
Esler, Karen [2 ,3 ]
Krug, Cornelia [4 ,22 ]
Arias, Melissa [1 ,23 ]
Tambosi, Leandro [5 ]
Crouzeilles, Renato [6 ,7 ]
Acosta, Andre Luis [1 ]
Brancalion, Pedro H. S. [8 ]
D'Albertas, Francisco [1 ]
Duarte, Gabriela Teixeira [9 ]
Garcia, Leticia Couto [10 ]
Grytnes, John-Arvid [11 ]
Hagen, Dagmar [12 ]
Fleuri Jardim, Andre Vitor [13 ]
Kamiyama, Chiho [14 ]
Latawiec, Agnieszka Ewa [6 ,15 ,16 ,17 ]
Rodrigues, Ricardo Ribeiro [18 ]
Ruggiero, Patricia G. C. [1 ]
Sparovek, Gerd [19 ]
Strassburg, Bernardo [6 ,15 ]
Saraiva, Antonio Mauro [20 ]
Joly, Carlos [21 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Biosci, Dept Ecol, Rua Matao 321,Travessa 14, BR-05508900 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
[2] Stellenbosch Univ, Dept Conservat Ecol & Entomol, Private Bag X1, ZA-7602 Stellenbosch, South Africa
[3] Stellenbosch Univ, Ctr Invas Biol, Private Bag X1, ZA-7602 Stellenbosch, South Africa
[4] Univ Paris Sud XI, Lab Ecol Systemat & Evolut, Univ Paris Sud, CNRS,UMR 8079,AgroParisTech, Batiment 362, F-91405 Orsay, France
[5] Fed Univ ABC, CECS Ctr Engn Modelagem & Ciencias Sociais Aplica, Av Estados 5001, Santo Andre, SP, Brazil
[6] Int Inst Sustainabil, Estr Dona Castorina,124 Horto, BR-22460320 Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[7] Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Dept Ecol, BR-68020 Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[8] Dept Ciencias Florestais Esalq USP, Av Padua Dias 11, BR-13418900 Piracicaba, SP, Brazil
[9] Univ Fed Minas Gerais, Inst Ciencias Biol, Av Antonio Carlos 6627, BR-31270901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
[10] Univ Fed Mato Grosso do Sul, Biol Vegetal, BR-79070900 Campo Grande, MS, Brazil
[11] Univ Bergen, Dept Biol, Postbox 7803, N-5020 Bergen, Norway
[12] Norwegian Inst Nat Res NINA, POB 5685 Sluppen, NO-7485 Trondheim, Norway
[13] Minist Meio Ambiente, Secretaria Biodiversidade, Dept Conservacao Ecossistemas, SEPN 505,Bloco B,Ed Marie Prendi Cruz,4 Andar, BR-70730542 Brasilia, DF, Brazil
[14] United Nations Univ, Inst Adv Study Sustainabil UNU IAS, 5-53-70 Jingumae, Shibuya 1508925, Japan
[15] Pontificia Univ Catolica Rio de Janeiro, Dept Geog & Environm, Rio Conservat & Sustainabil Sci Ctr, BR-22453900 Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
[16] Agr Univ Krakow, Fac Prod & Power Engn, Inst Agr Engn & Informat, Balicka 116B, PL-30149 Krakow, Poland
[17] Univ East Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[18] Univ Sao Paulo, Escola Super Agr Luiz de Queiroz, Dept Ciencias Biol, Ave Padua Dias 11,Caixa Postal 9, BR-13418900 Piracicaba, SP, Brazil
[19] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Ciencia Solo, Esalq USP, Av Padua Dias 11, BR-13418900 Piracicaba, SP, Brazil
[20] Univ Sao Paulo, Escola Politecn, Dept Engn Comp & Sistemas Digitais, Ave Prof Luciano Gualberto, BR-05508010 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
[21] Univ Estadual Campinas, UNICAMP, Inst Biol, Dept Biol Vegetal, Campinas, SP, Brazil
[22] Univ Zurich, Dept Geog, URPP Global Change & Biodivers, Winterthurerstr 190, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland
[23] Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Interdisciplinary Ctr Conservat Sci, New Radcliffe House, Oxford OX2 6BW, England
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会; 巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES; SPATIALLY-EXPLICIT; LANDSCAPE RESTORATION; FOREST RESTORATION; SOUTH-AFRICA; TRADE-OFFS; REFORESTATION; STAKEHOLDERS; MANAGEMENT; OUTCOMES;
D O I
10.1016/j.cosust.2017.10.004
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Scenarios are important tools to facilitate the communication among scientists, practitioners, and decision-makers, and, thus to support policy and management decisions. The use of scenarios has an enormous potential to reduce ecosystem restoration costs and to optimize benefits, but this potential remains poorly explored. Here, we recommend and illustrate six best practices to guide the use of scenarios for planning native ecosystem restoration. We argue, first, for a participatory process to consider aspirations of multiple stakeholders along the whole scenario building process, from planning to implementation and review phases. Second, targeted restoration outcomes should be defined by key-actors (those who have direct interests in restoration) and directly involved stakeholders, within a clear socio-environmental context and under a well-defined problem statement, considering a broad range of nature and human benefits that can be derived from ecosystem restoration. Third, methodological choices, such as scenario types, spatial and temporal scales, drivers, restoration-related variables, and indicators, should be defined according to the multiple desired outcomes. Fourth, we encourage the consideration of the interactions among variables, within a spatially explicit, and temporally dynamic multi-criteria approach. Fifth, analysis and dissemination of scenario results should highlight the trade-offs and synergies among different restoration outcomes, identifying the scenarios that maximize benefits and minimize costs and resistance (i.e. the cost-effective and most feasible scenario) for multiple targets. Finally, promoting capacity building, through a wider consultation process including interaction with a broader group of stakeholders, is critical for the successful implementation and review of restoration interventions. Scenarios that support ecosystem restoration should follow an adaptive and iterative process, aiming to continuously improve restoration interventions and outcomes.
引用
收藏
页码:14 / 25
页数:12
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