The asymmetric impact of the pandemic crisis on interest rates on public debt in the Eurozone

被引:13
作者
Carnazza, Giovanni [1 ]
Liberati, Paolo [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Roma Tre, Dept Econ, Rome, Italy
关键词
Coronavirus; Sovereign bond yields; Sovereign credit default swaps; European Central Bank; AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME-SERIES; SOVEREIGN; SECURITY; MARKETS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.04.001
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The outbreak of Covid-19 has played the role of a 'game changer' in the way countries of the Eurozone have faced the economic consequences of the pandemic crisis. This paper investigates what has happened to the interest rates of the sovereign bond in selected countries of the Eurozone during 2020. While the pandemic crisis can be interpreted as a symmetric shock, we found some important asymmetric consequences both in the sovereign bond market and the credit default swap market. Even though the European Central Bank (ECB) has played a fundamental role in easening tensions, especially with the announce of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP), countries with a higher pre-Covid level of the debt-to-GDP ratio have been found to undergo a significant jump in interest rates and a greater perceived risks of default. Important policies implications emerge in relation to the future role of the ECB. (c) 2021 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:521 / 542
页数:22
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