PHASES Score for the Management of Intracranial Aneurysm A Cross-Sectional Population-Based Retrospective Study

被引:125
作者
Bijlenga, Philippe [1 ]
Gondar, Renato [1 ]
Schilling, Sabine [3 ]
Morel, Sandrine [1 ]
Hirsch, Sven [3 ]
Cuony, Johanna [1 ]
Corniola, Marco-Vincenzo [1 ]
Perren, Fabienne [2 ]
Rufenacht, Daniel [4 ]
Schaller, Karl [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Geneva, Fac Med, Clin Neurosci Dept, Div Neurosurg, Geneva, Switzerland
[2] Univ Geneva, Fac Med, Clin Neurosci Dept, Div Neurol, Geneva, Switzerland
[3] Univ Appl Sci, Inst Appl Simulat, Wadenswil, Switzerland
[4] Klin Hirslanden, SwissNeuroInst, Neuroradiol, Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
hypertension; intracranial aneurysm; probability; risk; subarachnoid hemorrhage; UNRUPTURED ANEURYSMS; RUPTURE; PREDICTION; RISK;
D O I
10.1161/STROKEAHA.117.017391
中图分类号
R74 [神经病学与精神病学];
学科分类号
摘要
Background and Purpose-The aim of this study is to assess whether the PHASES score allows to (1) match decisions taken by multidisciplinary team whether to observe or intervene, (2) classify patients being diagnosed with a ruptured versus unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA), and (3) discriminate patients at low risk of rupture from the population of patients diagnosed with intracranial aneurysm. Methods-Population-based prospective and consecutive data were collected between 2006 and 2014. Patients (n=841) were stratified into 4 groups: stable UIA; growing observed UIA; immediately treated UIA; and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). All patients initially observed were pooled in a follow-up UIA group; patients from growing observed UIA, immediately treated UIA, and aSAH were pooled in a high risk of rupture group. Results are expressed as median [quartile 1, quartile 3]. Results-PHASES scores of immediately treated UIA patients were significantly higher than follow-up UIA group (5 [3, 7] versus 2 [1, 4]). Patients diagnosed with UIA and PHASES score of > 3 were more likely to be treated, and the score <= 3 was predictive for observation (areas under these curves=0.74). Odds of being diagnosed with an aSAH were associated with PHASES score of > 3 (UIA, 4 [2, 6]; aSAH, 5 [4, 8]; areas under these curves=0.66). Scores of stable UIA patients were significantly lower than high risk of rupture group (2 [1, 4] versus 5 [4, 7]; stable UIA outcome prediction by PHASES score of <= 3: areas under these curves=0.76). Conclusions-There is a progression of PHASES score between stable UIA, growing observed UIA, immediately treated UIA, and aSAH groups. PHASES score of <= 3 is associated with a low but not negligible likelihood of aneurysm rupture, and specificity of the classifier is low.
引用
收藏
页码:2105 / +
页数:10
相关论文
共 25 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2014, The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
[2]   PHASES Score for Prediction of Intracranial Aneurysm Growth [J].
Backes, Daan ;
Vergouwen, Mervyn D. I. ;
Groenestege, Andreas T. Tiel ;
Bor, A. Stijntje E. ;
Velthuis, Birgitta K. ;
Greving, Jacoba P. ;
Algra, Ale ;
Wermer, Marieke J. H. ;
van Walderveen, Marianne A. A. ;
terBrugge, Karel G. ;
Agid, Ronit ;
Rinkel, Gabriel J. E. .
STROKE, 2015, 46 (05) :1221-1226
[3]   Risk of Rupture of Small Anterior Communicating Artery Aneurysms Is Similar to Posterior Circulation Aneurysms [J].
Bijlenga, Philippe ;
Ebeling, Christian ;
Jaegersberg, Max ;
Summers, Paul ;
Rogers, Alister ;
Waterworth, Alan ;
Iavindrasana, Jimison ;
Macho, Juan ;
Pereira, Vitor Mendes ;
Bukovics, Peter ;
Vivas, Elio ;
Sturkenboom, Miriam C. J. M. ;
Wright, Jessica ;
Friedrich, Christoph M. ;
Frangi, Alejandro ;
Byrne, James ;
Schaller, Karl ;
Rufenacht, Daniel .
STROKE, 2013, 44 (11) :3018-3026
[4]   Surgical Clipping of Very Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Multicenter International Study [J].
Bruneau, Michael ;
Amin-Hanjani, Sepideh ;
Koroknay-Pal, Paivi ;
Bijlenga, Philippe ;
Jahromi, Behnam Rezai ;
Lehto, Hanna ;
Kivisaari, Riku ;
Schaller, Karl ;
Charbel, Fady ;
Khan, Sajeel ;
Melot, Christian ;
Niemela, Mika ;
Hernesniemi, Juha .
NEUROSURGERY, 2016, 78 (01) :47-52
[5]   Incidence of subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review with emphasis on region, age, gender and time trends [J].
de Rooij, N. K. ;
Linn, F. H. H. ;
van der Plas, J. A. ;
Algra, A. ;
Rinkel, G. J. E. .
JOURNAL OF NEUROLOGY NEUROSURGERY AND PSYCHIATRY, 2007, 78 (12) :1365-1372
[6]   COMPARING THE AREAS UNDER 2 OR MORE CORRELATED RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC CURVES - A NONPARAMETRIC APPROACH [J].
DELONG, ER ;
DELONG, DM ;
CLARKEPEARSON, DI .
BIOMETRICS, 1988, 44 (03) :837-845
[7]   Unruptured intracranial aneurysms: development, rupture and preventive management [J].
Etminan, Nima ;
Rinkel, Gabriel J. .
NATURE REVIEWS NEUROLOGY, 2016, 12 (12) :699-713
[8]   The unruptured intracranial aneurysm treatment score A multidisciplinary consensus [J].
Etminan, Nima ;
Brown, Robert D., Jr. ;
Beseoglu, Kerim ;
Juvela, Seppo ;
Raymond, Jean ;
Morita, Akio ;
Torner, James C. ;
Derdeyn, Colin P. ;
Raabe, Andreas ;
Mocco, J. ;
Korja, Miikka ;
Abdulazim, Amr ;
Amin-Hanjani, Sepideh ;
Salman, Rustam Al-Shahi ;
Barrow, Daniel L. ;
Bederson, Joshua ;
Bonafe, Alain ;
Dumont, Aaron S. ;
Fiorella, David J. ;
Gruber, Andreas ;
Hankey, Graeme J. ;
Hasan, David M. ;
Hoh, Brian L. ;
Jabbour, Pascal ;
Kasuya, Hidetoshi ;
Kelly, Michael E. ;
Kirkpatrick, Peter J. ;
Knuckey, Neville ;
Koivisto, Timo ;
Krings, Timo ;
Lawton, Michael T. ;
Marotta, Thomas R. ;
Mayer, Stephan A. ;
Mee, Edward ;
Pereira, Vitor Mendes ;
Molyneux, Andrew ;
Morgan, Michael K. ;
Mori, Kentaro ;
Murayama, Yuichi ;
Nagahiro, Shinji ;
Nakayama, Naoki ;
Niemela, Mika ;
Ogilvy, Christopher S. ;
Pierot, Laurent ;
Rabinstein, Alejandro A. ;
Roos, Yvo B. W. E. M. ;
Rinne, Jaakko ;
Rosenwasser, Robert H. ;
Ronkainen, Antti ;
Schaller, Karl .
NEUROLOGY, 2015, 85 (10) :881-889
[9]   An introduction to ROC analysis [J].
Fawcett, Tom .
PATTERN RECOGNITION LETTERS, 2006, 27 (08) :861-874
[10]   Ten-Year Detection Rate of Brain Arteriovenous Malformations in a Large, Multiethnic, Defined Population [J].
Gabriel, Rodney A. ;
Kim, Helen ;
Sidney, Stephen ;
McCulloch, Charles E. ;
Singh, Vineeta ;
Johnston, S. Claiborne ;
Ko, Nerissa U. ;
Achrol, Achal S. ;
Zaroff, Jonathan G. ;
Young, William L. .
STROKE, 2010, 41 (01) :21-26