Reframing climate change assessments around risk: recommendations for the US National Climate Assessment

被引：43

作者：

Weaver, C. P. ^{[1
]}

Moss, R. H. ^{[2
]}

Ebi, K. L. ^{[3
]}

Gleick, P. H. ^{[4
]}

Stern, P. C. ^{[5
]}

Tebaldi, C. ^{[6
]}

Wilson, R. S. ^{[7
]}

Arvai, J. L. ^{[8
]}

机构：

[1] US EPA, Off Res & Dev, Res Triangle Pk, NC 27711 USA

[2] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD USA

[3] Univ Washington, Dept Global Hlth, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

[4] Pacific Inst, Oakland, CA USA

[5] Social & Environm Res Inst, Northampton, MA USA

[6] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

[7] Ohio State Univ, Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Columbus, OH 43210 USA

[8] Univ Michigan, Sch Nat Resources & Environm, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2017年 / 12卷 / 08期

关键词：

climate; assessments; risk framing; DECISION-MAKING; POTENTIAL IMPACTS; SCIENCE; COPRODUCTION; UNCERTAINTY; ADAPTATION; MANAGEMENT; KNOWLEDGE; ECONOMICS;

D O I：

10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Climate change is a risk management challenge for society, with uncertain but potentially severe outcomes affecting natural and human systems, across generations. Managing climate-related risks will be more difficult without a base of knowledge and practice aimed at identifying and evaluating specific risks, and their likelihood and consequences, as well as potential actions to promote resilience in the face of these risks. We suggest three improvements to the process of conducting climate change assessments to better characterize risk and inform risk management actions.

引用

页数：8

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