Alternative futures for North Korea economy: From the North Korean perspectives

被引:5
作者
Lee, Daejoong [1 ]
Seo, Yongseok [1 ]
机构
[1] Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Moon Soul Grad Sch Future Strategy, N5 2241,Daehakro 291, Daejeon, South Korea
关键词
Four alternative futures for North Korea; Preferred future of the North Korean Regime; North Korea economy; Inter-Korean relations and Korean reunification; The US-North Korea relations; Denuclearization of North Korea; DEFECTORS; POLICY;
D O I
10.1016/j.futures.2019.102455
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Recent mood of reconciliation between the two Koreas as well as the two historic summits between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-Un over the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula attracted worldwide attention. Despite growing security concerns in North Korea, studies on North Korea have often neglected the viewpoints of the North Korean regime and most studies analyzed from the viewpoints of South Korea and the United States. In this respect, we explore the alternative futures for North Korea and its economy from the perspective of North Korea and concludes that unification with South Korea may not be the preferred future of the North. To envision alternative futures for North Korea, we utilize the 'four generic alternative futures' of Manoa School at the University of Hawaii. Based on the four alternative futures, we suggest four strategies for the North Korean economy to achieve its preferred future.
引用
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页数:11
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