Development of high-precision wind, wave and current forecast system for offshore wind energy industry in Taiwan: a two-stage method of numerical simulation and AI correction

被引:5
作者
Hung, Sheng-Chu [1 ]
Chang, Wen-Yi [1 ]
Tsai, Whey-Fone [1 ]
Kuo, Chih-Yu [2 ]
Liau, Jian-Ming [3 ]
Lin, Chuan-Yiao [4 ]
Hsu, Tai-Wen [5 ]
Tu, Chia-Ying [4 ]
Wu, Chien-Heng [1 ]
Chung, Yu-Feng [1 ]
Huang, Jheng-Nan [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr High Performance Comp, Natl Appl Res Labs, 7 R&D 6th Rd,Hsinchu Sci Pk, Hsinchu 30076, Taiwan
[2] Acad Sinica, Res Ctr Appl Sci, Nankang, Taiwan
[3] Taiwan Ocean Res Inst, Natl Appl Res Labs, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
[4] Acad Sinica, Res Ctr Environm Changes, Nankang, Taiwan
[5] Natl Taiwan Ocean Univ, Ctr Excellence Ocean Engn, Keelung, Taiwan
关键词
Offshore wind power; meteorological forecast; oceanic forecast; deep learning; big data; NEURAL-NETWORK;
D O I
10.1080/02533839.2021.1936643
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
At the Changhwa Fuhai wind farm, the high-resolution numerical models for wind, wave and current simulations are crucial to provide daily forecasts as a decision-support system for Taiwan's offshore wind energy industry. In this study, the two-stage method, consisting of numerical simulation and deep-learning correction based on the observed data at Fuhai wind farm site, is implemented to further improve the meteorological and marine forecast accuracy. The recurrent neural network-long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) model is adopted in the deep learning analytics. Currently, this system is capable of daily providing the next 4-day wind field forecast and the next 7-day wave and current field forecast. Through the testing, it is found that the error correction of wind simulations can reduce root mean square error (RMSE) by up to 36.7%. Furthermore, through adopting the SQL and HBase hybrid database system, a wide range of historical data as well as daily forecast data can be quickly queried and displayed on the web interface to provide important decision support to the relevant wind power companies in scheduling offshore construction plans, forecasting wind energy production, and arranging wind turbines' shutdown and maintenance sequence.
引用
收藏
页码:532 / 543
页数:12
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