Temporal trends in the incidence and prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis in the Northwest of Spain

Background: During the last decades, the frequency of multiple sclerosis (MS) is increasing worldwide. Nevertheless, the higher sensibility of the new diagnostic criteria obscures the comparison between studies performed in different decades. Methods: The evolution of the frequency of MS in Santiago de Compostela (North-West of Spain) between 2003 and 2015 was analyzed using Poisson regression. The diagnosis was confirmed according to Poser criteria. Several sources were consulted for case ascertainment: databases from the MS Unit, the Infusion Center, and the Departments of Neurology, Pharmacy, Pediatric Neurology and Codification of the public Hospital of Santiago, private hospitals, neurologists with private activity, general practitioners, and associations of patients. Results: In 12 years, the prevalence increased from 68 to 143 cases/100,000 inhabitants, from 83 to 176 in females; and from 49 to 106 in males (p <0.0001, 0.0001, and 0.0002 respectively). The incidence rise was not significant (from 5 to 8 cases/ 100,000 inhabitants/ year (p=0.4243). The mean age of the population growth 5.7 years (p=0.008). The changes in female: male ratio (12.9%), in the age at the first symptom (2.2 years), and the diagnosis delay (0.12 years) did not achieve significance (p=0.7750, 0.1606, 0.8581). Conclusion: The prevalence of MS doubled in 12 years whilst the difference in incidence was lower and not significant. The disproportion in the growth of both parameters, as well as the higher mean age in the last study, suggest a longer survival of patients with MS.