The predictors of clinical outcomes in brainstem arteriovenous malformations after stereotactic radiosurgery

The brainstem arteriovenous malformations (BS-AVMs) have a high morbidity and mortality and stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) has been widely used to treat BS-AVMs. However, no consensus is reached in the explicit predictors of obliteration for BS-AVMs after SRS. To identify the predictors of clinical outcomes for BS-AVMs treated by SRS, we performed a retrospective observational study of BS-AVMs patients treated by SRS at our institution from 2006 to 2016. The primary outcomes were obliteration of nidus and favorable outcomes (AVM nidus obliteration with mRS score <= 2). For getting the outcomes more accurate, we also pooled the results of previous studies as well as our study by meta-analysis. A total of 26 patients diagnosed with BS-AVMs, with mean volume of 2.6 ml, were treated with SRS. Hemorrhage presentation accounted for 69% of these patients. Overall obliteration rate was 42% with mean follow-up of more than five years and two patients (8%) had a post-SRS hemorrhage. Favorable outcomes were observed in 8 patients (31%). Higher margin dose (>15Gy) was associated with higher obliteration (P = .042) and small volume of nidus was associated with favorable outcomes (P = .036). After pooling the results of 7 studies and present study, non-prior embolization (P = .049) and higher margin dose (P = .04) were associated with higher obliteration rate, in addition, the lower Virginia Radiosurgery AVM Scale (VRAS) was associated with favorable outcomes (P = .02) of BS-AVMs after SRS. In the BS-AVMs patients treated by SRS, higher margin dose (19-24Gy) and non-prior embolization were the independent predictors of higher obliteration rate. In addition, smaller volume of nidus and lower VRAS were the potential predictors of long-term favorable outcomes for these patients.